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Meta TitleCoefficient of Determination (R²) | Calculation & Interpretation
Meta DescriptionThe coefficient of determination (R²) is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well a statistical model predicts an outcome.
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Published on April 22, 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on June 22, 2023. The coefficient of determination is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well a statistical model predicts an outcome. Interpreting the coefficient of determination Coefficient of determination ( R 2 ) Interpretation 0 The model does not predict the outcome. Between 0 and 1 The model partially predicts the outcome. 1 The model perfectly predicts the outcome. The coefficient of determination is often written as R 2 , which is pronounced as “r squared.” For simple linear regressions , a lowercase r is usually used instead ( r 2 ). Table of contents What is the coefficient of determination? Calculating the coefficient of determination Interpreting the coefficient of determination Reporting the coefficient of determination Practice questions Other interesting articles Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination What is the coefficient of determination? The coefficient of determination ( R ²) measures how well a statistical model predicts an outcome. The outcome is represented by the model’s dependent variable . The lowest possible value of R ² is 0 and the highest possible value is 1. Put simply, the better a model is at making predictions, the closer its R ² will be to 1. Example: Coefficient of determination Imagine that you perform a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their time spent studying ( independent variable ). If the R 2 is 0, the linear regression model doesn’t allow you to predict exam scores any better than simply estimating that everyone has an average exam score. If the R 2 is between 0 and 1, the model allows you to partially predict exam scores. The model’s estimates are not perfect, but they’re better than simply using the average exam score. If the R 2 is 1, the model allows you to perfectly predict anyone’s exam score. More technically, R 2 is a measure of goodness of fit. It is the proportion of variance in the dependent variable that is explained by the model. Graphing your linear regression data usually gives you a good clue as to whether its R 2 is high or low. For example, the graphs below show two sets of simulated data: The observations are shown as dots. The model’s predictions (the line of best fit) are shown as a black line. The distance between the observations and their predicted values (the residuals) are shown as purple lines. You can see in the first dataset that when the R 2 is high, the observations are close to the model’s predictions . In other words, most points are close to the line of best fit: Note: The coefficient of determination is always positive, even when the correlation is negative. In contrast, you can see in the second dataset that when the R 2 is low, the observations are far from the model’s predictions . In other words, when the R 2 is low, many points are far from the line of best fit: Receive feedback on language, structure, and formatting Professional editors proofread and edit your paper by focusing on: Academic style Vague sentences Grammar Style consistency See an example Calculating the coefficient of determination You can choose between two formulas to calculate the coefficient of determination ( R ²) of a simple linear regression. The first formula is specific to simple linear regressions , and the second formula can be used to calculate the R ² of many types of statistical models. Formula 1: Using the correlation coefficient Formula 1:     Where r = Pearson correlation coefficient Example: Calculating R ² using the correlation coefficient You are studying the relationship between heart rate and age in children, and you find that the two variables have a negative Pearson correlation:     This value can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination ( R ²) using Formula 1:             Formula 2: Using the regression outputs Formula 2:     Where: RSS = sum of squared residuals TSS = total sum of squares Example: Calculating R ² using regression outputs As part of performing a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable), you calculate that:         These values can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination ( R ²) using Formula 2:                 Interpreting the coefficient of determination You can interpret the coefficient of determination ( R ²) as the proportion of variance in the dependent variable that is predicted by the statistical model . Another way of thinking of it is that the R ² is the proportion of variance that is shared between the independent and dependent variables. You can also say that the R ² is the proportion of variance “explained” or “accounted for” by the model. The proportion that remains (1 − R ²) is the variance that is not predicted by the model. If you prefer, you can write the R ² as a percentage instead of a proportion. Simply multiply the proportion by 100. R ² as an effect size Lastly, you can also interpret the R ² as an effect size : a measure of the strength of the relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Psychologist and statistician Jacob Cohen (1988) suggested the following rules of thumb for simple linear regressions : R² as an effect size Minimum coefficient of determination ( R ²) value Effect size interpretation .01 Small .09 Medium .25 Large Be careful: the R ² on its own can’t tell you anything about causation . Example: Interpreting R ² A simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable) has an R ² of .71. From this R ² value, we know that: 71% of the variance in students’ exam scores is predicted by their study time 29% of the variance in student’s exam scores is unexplained by the model The students’ study time has a large effect on their exam scores Studying longer may or may not cause an improvement in the students’ scores. Although this causal relationship is very plausible, the R ² alone can’t tell us why there’s a relationship between students’ study time and exam scores. For example, students might find studying less frustrating when they understand the course material well, so they study longer. Reporting the coefficient of determination If you decide to include a coefficient of determination ( R ²) in your research paper , dissertation or thesis , you should report it in your results section . You can follow these rules if you want to report statistics in APA Style : You should use “ r ²” for statistical models with one independent variable (such as simple linear regressions). Use “ R ²” for statistical models with multiple independent variables. You don’t need to provide a reference or formula since the coefficient of determination is a commonly used statistic. You should italicize r ² and R ² when reporting their values (but don’t italicize the ²). You shouldn’t include a leading zero (a zero before the decimal point) since the coefficient of determination can’t be greater than one. You should provide two significant digits after the decimal point. Very often, the coefficient of determination is provided alongside related statistical results, such as the F value , degrees of freedom , and p value . Example: Reporting r ² in APA Style Students’ exam scores were predicted by their study time, r ² = .71, F (1,32) = 7.33, p = .003. Practice questions Other interesting articles If you want to know more about statistics , methodology , or research bias , make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples. Statistics Chi square test of independence Statistical power Descriptive statistics Degrees of freedom Pearson correlation Null hypothesis Methodology Double-blind study Case-control study Research ethics Data collection Hypothesis testing Structured interviews Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination Cite this Scribbr article If you want to cite this source, you can copy and paste the citation or click the “Cite this Scribbr article” button to automatically add the citation to our free Citation Generator. Turney, S. (2023, June 22). Coefficient of Determination (R²) | Calculation & Interpretation. Scribbr. Retrieved April 2, 2026, from https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/ You have already voted. 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(Examples)") - [Coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/ "Coefficient of Determination (R²) | Calculation & Interpretation") - [Model selection](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/akaike-information-criterion/ "Akaike Information Criterion | When & How to Use It (Example)") - [Akaike information criterion](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/akaike-information-criterion/ "Akaike Information Criterion | When & How to Use It (Example)") - [Reporting statistics in APA](https://www.scribbr.com/apa-style/numbers-and-statistics/ "Reporting Statistics in APA Style | Guidelines & Examples") ### Interesting topics - [Parts of speech](https://www.scribbr.com/category/parts-of-speech/ "View all articles about Parts of speech") - [Working with sources](https://www.scribbr.com/category/working-with-sources/ "View all articles about Working with sources") - [IEEE](https://www.scribbr.com/category/ieee/ "View all articles about IEEE") - [Commonly confused words](https://www.scribbr.com/category/commonly-confused-words/ "View all articles about Commonly confused words") - [Commas](https://www.scribbr.com/category/commas/ "View all articles about Commas") - [Definitions](https://www.scribbr.com/category/definitions/ "View all articles about Definitions") - [UK vs. US English](https://www.scribbr.com/category/us-vs-uk/ "View all articles about UK vs. US English") - [Research bias](https://www.scribbr.com/category/research-bias/ "View all articles about Research bias") - [Nouns and pronouns](https://www.scribbr.com/category/nouns-and-pronouns/ "View all articles about Nouns and pronouns") - [AMA style](https://www.scribbr.com/category/ama/ "View all articles about AMA style") - [College essay](https://www.scribbr.com/category/college-essay/ "View all articles about College essay") - [Sentence structure](https://www.scribbr.com/category/sentence-structure/ "View all articles about Sentence structure") - [Verbs](https://www.scribbr.com/category/verbs/ "View all articles about Verbs") - [Common mistakes](https://www.scribbr.com/category/common-mistakes/ "View all articles about Common mistakes") - [Effective communication](https://www.scribbr.com/category/effective-communication/ "View all articles about Effective communication") - [Using AI tools](https://www.scribbr.com/category/ai-tools/ "View all articles about Using AI tools") - [Fallacies](https://www.scribbr.com/category/fallacies/ "View all articles about Fallacies") - [Rhetoric](https://www.scribbr.com/category/rhetoric/ "View all articles about Rhetoric") - [Plurals](https://www.scribbr.com/category/plurals/ "View all articles about Plurals") - [APA Style 6th edition](https://www.scribbr.com/category/apa-style/6th-edition/ "View all articles about APA Style 6th edition") - [Applying to graduate school](https://www.scribbr.com/category/graduate-school/ "View all articles about Applying to graduate school") - [Statistics](https://www.scribbr.com/category/statistics/ "View all articles about Statistics") - [Chicago Style](https://www.scribbr.com/category/chicago-style/ "View all articles about Chicago Style") - [Language rules](https://www.scribbr.com/category/language-rules/ "View all articles about Language rules") - [Methodology](https://www.scribbr.com/category/methodology/ "View all articles about Methodology") - [MLA Style](https://www.scribbr.com/category/mla/ "View all articles about MLA Style") - [Research paper](https://www.scribbr.com/category/research-paper/ "View all articles about Research paper") - [Academic writing](https://www.scribbr.com/category/academic-writing/ "View all articles about Academic writing") - [Starting the research process](https://www.scribbr.com/category/research-process/ "View all articles about Starting the research process") - [Dissertation](https://www.scribbr.com/category/dissertation/ "View all articles about Dissertation") - [Essay](https://www.scribbr.com/category/academic-essay/ "View all articles about Essay") - [Tips](https://www.scribbr.com/category/tips/ "View all articles about Tips") - [APA Style 7th edition](https://www.scribbr.com/category/apa-style/ "View all articles about APA Style 7th edition") - [APA citation examples](https://www.scribbr.com/category/apa-examples/ "View all articles about APA citation examples") - [Citing sources](https://www.scribbr.com/category/citing-sources/ "View all articles about Citing sources") - [Plagiarism](https://www.scribbr.com/category/plagiarism/ "View all articles about Plagiarism") ##### Try our other services [![](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2032%2032'%3E%3C/svg%3E) ![](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/human-proofreading.svg) Proofreading & Editing Have a human editor polish your writing to ensure your arguments are judged on merit, not grammar errors. 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Try for free](https://www.scribbr.com/paraphrasing-tool/?scr_source=knowledgebase&scr_medium=sidebar&scr_campaign=minimalistic-sidebar) [![](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2032%2032'%3E%3C/svg%3E) ![](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/grammer-checker.svg) Grammar Checker Eliminate grammar errors and improve your writing with our free AI-powered grammar checker. Try for free](https://www.scribbr.com/grammar-checker/?scr_source=knowledgebase&scr_medium=sidebar&scr_campaign=minimalistic-sidebar) # Coefficient of Determination (R²) \| Calculation & Interpretation Published on April 22, 2022 by [Shaun Turney](https://www.scribbr.com/author/shaunt/ "All articles by Shaun Turney"). Revised on June 22, 2023. The coefficient of determination is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well a statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/) predicts an outcome. | Coefficient of determination (*R*2) | Interpretation | |---|---| | 0 | The model **does not** predict the outcome. | | Between 0 and 1 | The model **partially** predicts the outcome. | | 1 | The model **perfectly** predicts the outcome. | The coefficient of determination is often written as *R*2, which is pronounced as “r squared.” For [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/), a lowercase *r* is usually used instead (*r*2). ## Table of contents 1. [What is the coefficient of determination?](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#what) 2. [Calculating the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#calculating) 3. [Interpreting the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#interpreting) 4. [Reporting the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#reporting) 5. [Practice questions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#quiz) 6. [Other interesting articles](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#other) 7. [Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#frequently-asked-questions-about-the-coefficient-of-determination) ## What is the coefficient of determination? The coefficient of determination (*R*²) measures how well a statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/) predicts an outcome. The outcome is represented by the model’s [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#dependent). The lowest possible value of *R*² is 0 and the highest possible value is 1. Put simply, the better a model is at making predictions, the closer its *R*² will be to 1. Example: Coefficient of determination Imagine that you perform a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their time spent studying ([independent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#independent)). - If the *R*2 is 0, the linear regression model doesn’t allow you to predict exam scores any better than simply estimating that everyone has an [average](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/mean/) exam score. - If the *R*2 is between 0 and 1, the model allows you to partially predict exam scores. The model’s estimates are not perfect, but they’re better than simply using the average exam score. - If the *R*2 is 1, the model allows you to perfectly predict anyone’s exam score. More technically, *R*2 is a measure of goodness of fit. It is the proportion of [variance](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/variance/) in the dependent variable that is explained by the model. Graphing your linear regression data usually gives you a good clue as to whether its *R*2 is high or low. For example, the graphs below show two sets of simulated data: - The observations are shown as dots. - The model’s predictions (the line of best fit) are shown as a black line. - The distance between the observations and their predicted values (the residuals) are shown as purple lines. You can see in the first dataset that when the *R*2 is high, the observations are close to the model’s predictions. In other words, most points are close to the line of best fit: ![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.9](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20660%20480'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.9](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Coefficient-of-determination_0.9.webp) **Note:** The coefficient of determination is always positive, even when the [correlation](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-correlation/) is negative. In contrast, you can see in the second dataset that when the *R*2 is low, the observations are far from the model’s predictions. In other words, when the *R*2 is low, many points are far from the line of best fit: ![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.2](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20660%20480'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.2](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Coefficient-of-determination_0.2.webp) ### Receive feedback on language, structure, and formatting Professional editors proofread and edit your paper by focusing on: - Academic style - Vague sentences - Grammar - Style consistency [See an example](https://www.scribbr.com/proofreading-editing/paper-editing-service/?scr_source=knowledgebase&scr_medium=in-text&scr_campaign=proofreading&src_content=feedback+language+structure+layout) ![](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20830%20660'%3E%3C/svg%3E) ![](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/dissertation-proofreading-service.png) ## Calculating the coefficient of determination You can choose between two formulas to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) of a simple linear regression. The first formula is specific to [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/), and the second formula can be used to calculate the *R*² of many types of statistical models. ### Formula 1: Using the correlation coefficient Formula 1: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2078%2023'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-8c4d82b2fe20f208da8c31b613e5fd89_l3.png) Where *r* = [Pearson correlation coefficient](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/pearson-correlation-coefficient/) Example: Calculating *R*² using the correlation coefficient You are studying the relationship between heart rate and age in children, and you find that the two variables have a negative Pearson correlation: ![\\begin{equation\*}r=-0.28\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2082%2013'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}r=-0.28\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-028980c08bb3f318f52836e30ee9cfa9_l3.png) This value can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) using Formula 1: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2078%2023'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-8c4d82b2fe20f208da8c31b613e5fd89_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(-0.28)^2\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20117%2023'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(-0.28)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-335562cda79b94c68f75c3b43bf7a341_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.08\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2080%2018'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.08\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-7c06a31c5618b67f96fec79ffb74e1e3_l3.png) ### Formula 2: Using the regression outputs Formula 2: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20117%2039'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-77060d9686c4e6200e15410694b0c221_l3.png) Where: - RSS = sum of squared residuals - TSS = total sum of squares Example: Calculating *R*² using regression outputs As part of performing a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable), you calculate that: ![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{RSS}=629.22\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20110%2013'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{RSS}=629.22\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-9d3bed919c3705b3686559290d3b64a4_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{TSS}=2\\,187.04\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20123%2014'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{TSS}=2\\,187.04\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-23b0842ab7eb241dd98d4073491126ce_l3.png) These values can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) using Formula 2: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20117%2039'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-77060d9686c4e6200e15410694b0c221_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{629.22}{2\\,187.04}\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20147%2039'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{629.22}{2\\,187.04}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-25f7352ea18335eddc525ac74d0fea32_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-0.29\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20112%2018'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-0.29\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-b74ead3cc867978ff7ec367f3830fba9_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.71\\end{equation\*}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2079%2018'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.71\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-6e220f1a6c30feb37df1abf358c6dab4_l3.png) ## Interpreting the coefficient of determination You can interpret the coefficient of determination (*R*²) as the proportion of [variance](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/variance/) in the [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#dependent) that is predicted by the statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/). Another way of thinking of it is that the *R*² is the proportion of variance that is shared between the independent and dependent variables. You can also say that the *R*² is the proportion of variance “explained” or “accounted for” by the model. The proportion that remains (1 − *R*²) is the variance that is not predicted by the model. If you prefer, you can write the *R*² as a percentage instead of a proportion. Simply multiply the proportion by 100. ### *R*² as an effect size Lastly, you can also interpret the *R*² as an [effect size](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/effect-size/): a measure of the strength of the relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Psychologist and statistician Jacob Cohen (1988) suggested the following rules of thumb for [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/): | Minimum coefficient of determination (*R*²) value | Effect size interpretation | |---|---| | .01 | Small | | .09 | Medium | | .25 | Large | Be careful: the *R*² on its own can’t tell you anything about [causation](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/correlation-vs-causation/). Example: Interpreting *R*² A simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable) has an *R*² of .71. From this *R*² value, we know that: - 71% of the variance in students’ exam scores is predicted by their study time - 29% of the variance in student’s exam scores is unexplained by the model - The students’ study time has a large effect on their exam scores Studying longer may or may not [cause](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/correlation-vs-causation/) an improvement in the students’ scores. Although this causal relationship is very plausible, the *R*² alone can’t tell us why there’s a relationship between students’ study time and exam scores. For example, students might find studying less frustrating when they understand the course material well, so they study longer. ## Reporting the coefficient of determination If you decide to include a coefficient of determination (*R*²) in your [research paper](https://www.scribbr.com/category/research-paper/), [dissertation](https://www.scribbr.com/category/dissertation/) or [thesis](https://www.scribbr.com/dissertation/thesis/), you should report it in your [results section](https://www.scribbr.com/dissertation/results/). You can follow these rules if you want to [report statistics in APA Style](https://www.scribbr.com/apa-style/numbers-and-statistics/): - You should use “*r*²” for statistical models with one independent variable (such as simple linear regressions). Use “*R*²” for statistical models with multiple independent variables. - You don’t need to provide a reference or formula since the coefficient of determination is a commonly used statistic. - You should italicize *r*² and *R*² when reporting their values (but don’t italicize the ²). - You shouldn’t include a leading zero (a zero before the decimal point) since the coefficient of determination can’t be greater than one. - You should provide two significant digits after the decimal point. - Very often, the coefficient of determination is provided alongside related statistical results, such as the [*F* value](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/test-statistic/), [degrees of freedom](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/degrees-of-freedom/), and [*p* value](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/p-value/). Example: Reporting *r*² in APA Style Students’ exam scores were predicted by their study time, *r*² = .71, *F*(1,32) = 7.33, *p* \= .003. ## Here's why students love Scribbr's proofreading services [Trustpilot](https://www.trustpilot.com/review/www.scribbr.com) [Discover proofreading & editing](https://www.scribbr.com/proofreading-editing/paper-editing-service/?scr_source=knowledgebase&scr_medium=in-text&scr_campaign=proofreading&src_content=trustpilot) ## Practice questions powered by [Typeform](https://admin.typeform.com/signup?utm_campaign=N3apIC&utm_source=typeform.com-01D8JTMH8P14WJGAWB4RB1BJEB-pro&utm_medium=typeform&utm_content=typeform-embedded-poweredbytypeform&utm_term=EN) ## Other interesting articles If you want to know more about [statistics](https://www.scribbr.com/category/statistics/), [methodology](https://www.scribbr.com/category/methodology/), or [research bias](https://www.scribbr.com/faq-category/research-bias/), make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples. **Statistics** - [Chi square test of independence](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/chi-square-test-of-independence/) - [Statistical power](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/statistical-power/) - [Descriptive statistics](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/descriptive-statistics/) - [Degrees of freedom](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/degrees-of-freedom/) - [Pearson correlation](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/pearson-correlation-coefficient/) - [Null hypothesis](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/null-and-alternative-hypotheses/) **Methodology** - [Double-blind study](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/double-blind-study/) - [Case-control study](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/case-control-study/) - [Research ethics](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/research-ethics/) - [Data collection](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/data-collection/) - [Hypothesis testing](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/hypothesis-testing/) - [Structured interviews](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/structured-interview/) **Research bias** - [Hawthorne effect](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/hawthorne-effect/) - [Unconscious bias](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/unconscious-bias/) - [Recall bias](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/recall-bias/) - [Halo effect](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/halo-effect/) - [Self-serving bias](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/self-serving-bias/) - [Information bias](https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/information-bias/) ## Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination [What is the definition of the coefficient of determination (R²)?](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/definition-of-coefficient-of-determination/) The [coefficient of determination (R²)](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/) is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well a statistical model predicts an outcome. You can interpret the R² as the proportion of variation in the [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/) that is predicted by the statistical model. [What is the formula for the coefficient of determination (R²)?](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-the-formula-for-the-coefficient-of-determination-r%C2%B2/) There are two formulas you can use to calculate the [coefficient of determination (R²)](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/) of a [simple linear regression](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/). **Formula 1:** ![R^2=(r)^2](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%2078%2022'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![R^2=(r)^2](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-06ecfc9eb09f339f2a6f8113909f3fe0_l3.png) **Formula 2:** ![R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20117%2039'%3E%3C/svg%3E)![R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-5472ee9a4cc0c893784bf2e13e36d78b_l3.png) [How do I calculate the coefficient of determination (R²) in R?](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/r%C2%B2-in-r/) You can use the summary() function to view the [R²](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/) of a linear model in R. You will see the “R-squared” near the bottom of the output. [How do I calculate the coefficient of determination (R²) in Excel?](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/r%C2%B2-in-excel/) You can use the RSQ() function to calculate [R²](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/) in Excel. If your [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/) is in column A and your independent variable is in column B, then click any blank cell and type “RSQ(A:A,B:B)”. #### Cite this Scribbr article If you want to cite this source, you can copy and paste the citation or click the “Cite this Scribbr article” button to automatically add the citation to our free Citation Generator. > Turney, S. (2023, June 22). Coefficient of Determination (R²) \| Calculation & Interpretation. Scribbr. Retrieved April 2, 2026, from https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/ [Cite this article](https://www.scribbr.com/citation/generator/apa/?searchQuery=https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/) ##### Is this article helpful? 129 20 You have already voted. Thanks :-) Your vote is saved :-) Processing your vote... ![Shaun Turney](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20135%20143'%3E%3C/svg%3E) ![Shaun Turney](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/scribbr-shaun-turney.jpg) ## [Shaun Turney](https://www.scribbr.com/author/shaunt/ "All articles by Shaun Turney") During his MSc and PhD, Shaun learned how to apply scientific and statistical methods to his research in ecology. Now he loves to teach students how to collect and analyze data for their own theses and research projects. Why do I see ads? Ads help us keep our tools free for everyone. [Scribbr customers enjoy an ad-free experience\!](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/ad-free-experience/) ## Other students also liked [Correlation Coefficient \| Types, Formulas & Examples A correlation coefficient tells you the strength of the relationship between variables using a single number between -1 and 1. **479**](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/correlation-coefficient/) [Simple Linear Regression \| An Easy Introduction & Examples Simple linear regression is a model that describes the relationship between one dependent and one independent variable using a straight line. **912**](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/) [What is Effect Size and Why Does It Matter? 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Published on April 22, 2022 by [Shaun Turney](https://www.scribbr.com/author/shaunt/ "All articles by Shaun Turney"). Revised on June 22, 2023. The coefficient of determination is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well a statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/) predicts an outcome. | Coefficient of determination (*R*2) | Interpretation | |---|---| | 0 | The model **does not** predict the outcome. | | Between 0 and 1 | The model **partially** predicts the outcome. | | 1 | The model **perfectly** predicts the outcome. | The coefficient of determination is often written as *R*2, which is pronounced as “r squared.” For [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/), a lowercase *r* is usually used instead (*r*2). ## Table of contents 1. [What is the coefficient of determination?](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#what) 2. [Calculating the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#calculating) 3. [Interpreting the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#interpreting) 4. [Reporting the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#reporting) 5. [Practice questions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#quiz) 6. [Other interesting articles](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#other) 7. [Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/coefficient-of-determination/#frequently-asked-questions-about-the-coefficient-of-determination) ## What is the coefficient of determination? The coefficient of determination (*R*²) measures how well a statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/) predicts an outcome. The outcome is represented by the model’s [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#dependent). The lowest possible value of *R*² is 0 and the highest possible value is 1. Put simply, the better a model is at making predictions, the closer its *R*² will be to 1. Example: Coefficient of determination Imagine that you perform a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their time spent studying ([independent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#independent)). - If the *R*2 is 0, the linear regression model doesn’t allow you to predict exam scores any better than simply estimating that everyone has an [average](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/mean/) exam score. - If the *R*2 is between 0 and 1, the model allows you to partially predict exam scores. The model’s estimates are not perfect, but they’re better than simply using the average exam score. - If the *R*2 is 1, the model allows you to perfectly predict anyone’s exam score. More technically, *R*2 is a measure of goodness of fit. It is the proportion of [variance](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/variance/) in the dependent variable that is explained by the model. Graphing your linear regression data usually gives you a good clue as to whether its *R*2 is high or low. For example, the graphs below show two sets of simulated data: - The observations are shown as dots. - The model’s predictions (the line of best fit) are shown as a black line. - The distance between the observations and their predicted values (the residuals) are shown as purple lines. You can see in the first dataset that when the *R*2 is high, the observations are close to the model’s predictions. In other words, most points are close to the line of best fit: ![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.9](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Coefficient-of-determination_0.9.webp) **Note:** The coefficient of determination is always positive, even when the [correlation](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-correlation/) is negative. In contrast, you can see in the second dataset that when the *R*2 is low, the observations are far from the model’s predictions. In other words, when the *R*2 is low, many points are far from the line of best fit: ![Coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.2](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Coefficient-of-determination_0.2.webp) ### Receive feedback on language, structure, and formatting Professional editors proofread and edit your paper by focusing on: - Academic style - Vague sentences - Grammar - Style consistency [See an example](https://www.scribbr.com/proofreading-editing/paper-editing-service/?scr_source=knowledgebase&scr_medium=in-text&scr_campaign=proofreading&src_content=feedback+language+structure+layout) ![](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/dissertation-proofreading-service.png) ## Calculating the coefficient of determination You can choose between two formulas to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) of a simple linear regression. The first formula is specific to [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/), and the second formula can be used to calculate the *R*² of many types of statistical models. ### Formula 1: Using the correlation coefficient Formula 1: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-8c4d82b2fe20f208da8c31b613e5fd89_l3.png) Where *r* = [Pearson correlation coefficient](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/pearson-correlation-coefficient/) Example: Calculating *R*² using the correlation coefficient You are studying the relationship between heart rate and age in children, and you find that the two variables have a negative Pearson correlation: ![\\begin{equation\*}r=-0.28\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-028980c08bb3f318f52836e30ee9cfa9_l3.png) This value can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) using Formula 1: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(r)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-8c4d82b2fe20f208da8c31b613e5fd89_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=(-0.28)^2\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-335562cda79b94c68f75c3b43bf7a341_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.08\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-7c06a31c5618b67f96fec79ffb74e1e3_l3.png) ### Formula 2: Using the regression outputs Formula 2: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-77060d9686c4e6200e15410694b0c221_l3.png) Where: - RSS = sum of squared residuals - TSS = total sum of squares Example: Calculating *R*² using regression outputs As part of performing a simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable), you calculate that: ![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{RSS}=629.22\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-9d3bed919c3705b3686559290d3b64a4_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}\\textup{TSS}=2\\,187.04\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-23b0842ab7eb241dd98d4073491126ce_l3.png) These values can be used to calculate the coefficient of determination (*R*²) using Formula 2: ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{\\textup{RSS}}{\\textup{TSS}}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-77060d9686c4e6200e15410694b0c221_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-\\dfrac{629.22}{2\\,187.04}\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-25f7352ea18335eddc525ac74d0fea32_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=1-0.29\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-b74ead3cc867978ff7ec367f3830fba9_l3.png) ![\\begin{equation\*}R^2=0.71\\end{equation\*}](https://www.scribbr.com/wp-content/ql-cache/quicklatex.com-6e220f1a6c30feb37df1abf358c6dab4_l3.png) ## Interpreting the coefficient of determination You can interpret the coefficient of determination (*R*²) as the proportion of [variance](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/variance/) in the [dependent variable](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/independent-and-dependent-variables/#dependent) that is predicted by the statistical [model](https://www.scribbr.com/frequently-asked-questions/what-is-a-model/). Another way of thinking of it is that the *R*² is the proportion of variance that is shared between the independent and dependent variables. You can also say that the *R*² is the proportion of variance “explained” or “accounted for” by the model. The proportion that remains (1 − *R*²) is the variance that is not predicted by the model. If you prefer, you can write the *R*² as a percentage instead of a proportion. Simply multiply the proportion by 100. ### *R*² as an effect size Lastly, you can also interpret the *R*² as an [effect size](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/effect-size/): a measure of the strength of the relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Psychologist and statistician Jacob Cohen (1988) suggested the following rules of thumb for [simple linear regressions](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/simple-linear-regression/): | Minimum coefficient of determination (*R*²) value | Effect size interpretation | |---|---| | .01 | Small | | .09 | Medium | | .25 | Large | Be careful: the *R*² on its own can’t tell you anything about [causation](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/correlation-vs-causation/). Example: Interpreting *R*² A simple linear regression that predicts students’ exam scores (dependent variable) from their study time (independent variable) has an *R*² of .71. From this *R*² value, we know that: - 71% of the variance in students’ exam scores is predicted by their study time - 29% of the variance in student’s exam scores is unexplained by the model - The students’ study time has a large effect on their exam scores Studying longer may or may not [cause](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/correlation-vs-causation/) an improvement in the students’ scores. Although this causal relationship is very plausible, the *R*² alone can’t tell us why there’s a relationship between students’ study time and exam scores. For example, students might find studying less frustrating when they understand the course material well, so they study longer. ## Reporting the coefficient of determination If you decide to include a coefficient of determination (*R*²) in your [research paper](https://www.scribbr.com/category/research-paper/), [dissertation](https://www.scribbr.com/category/dissertation/) or [thesis](https://www.scribbr.com/dissertation/thesis/), you should report it in your [results section](https://www.scribbr.com/dissertation/results/). You can follow these rules if you want to [report statistics in APA Style](https://www.scribbr.com/apa-style/numbers-and-statistics/): - You should use “*r*²” for statistical models with one independent variable (such as simple linear regressions). Use “*R*²” for statistical models with multiple independent variables. - You don’t need to provide a reference or formula since the coefficient of determination is a commonly used statistic. - You should italicize *r*² and *R*² when reporting their values (but don’t italicize the ²). - You shouldn’t include a leading zero (a zero before the decimal point) since the coefficient of determination can’t be greater than one. - You should provide two significant digits after the decimal point. - Very often, the coefficient of determination is provided alongside related statistical results, such as the [*F* value](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/test-statistic/), [degrees of freedom](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/degrees-of-freedom/), and [*p* value](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/p-value/). Example: Reporting *r*² in APA Style Students’ exam scores were predicted by their study time, *r*² = .71, *F*(1,32) = 7.33, *p* \= .003. ## Practice questions ## Other interesting articles If you want to know more about [statistics](https://www.scribbr.com/category/statistics/), [methodology](https://www.scribbr.com/category/methodology/), or [research bias](https://www.scribbr.com/faq-category/research-bias/), make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples. **Statistics** - [Chi square test of independence](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/chi-square-test-of-independence/) - [Statistical power](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/statistical-power/) - [Descriptive statistics](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/descriptive-statistics/) - [Degrees of freedom](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/degrees-of-freedom/) - [Pearson correlation](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/pearson-correlation-coefficient/) - [Null hypothesis](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/null-and-alternative-hypotheses/) **Methodology** - [Double-blind study](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/double-blind-study/) - [Case-control study](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/case-control-study/) - [Research ethics](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/research-ethics/) - [Data collection](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/data-collection/) - [Hypothesis testing](https://www.scribbr.com/statistics/hypothesis-testing/) - [Structured interviews](https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/structured-interview/) ## Frequently asked questions about the coefficient of determination #### Cite this Scribbr article If you want to cite this source, you can copy and paste the citation or click the “Cite this Scribbr article” button to automatically add the citation to our free Citation Generator. > Turney, S. 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