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URLhttps://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-free-fall-nate-silver-11017569
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Meta TitleDonald Trump’s Approval Rating ‘In a Free Fall’ for Weeks: Nate Silver %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Donald Trump’s approval rating ‘in a free fall’ for weeks: Nate Silver - Newsweek
Meta DescriptionSilver, a statistician and political analyst, said Trump's net approval rating is now at "the lowest it's been during his second term."
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U.S. President Donald Trump's approval rating has been "in a free fall" for weeks, pollster Nate Silver has said. Writing in his Substack blog, Silver Bulletin, the statistician and political analyst said Trump's net approval rating is now at "the lowest it's been during his second term." Newsweek reached out to the White House by email outside of normal business hours for comment. Why It Matters Approval ratings are useful in gauging the mood of the nation and the public's response to Trump's policies. On November 4, there were a series of elections across the country in which Democrats made a number of gains in key seats including the New York City mayoral election, where Democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani defeated independent Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. These election results have concerned the GOP ahead of future votes. Image placeholder U.S. President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C. on November 6, 2025. | (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) What To Know Silver, who founded 538, a website that offers opinion poll analysis, said that Trump's net approval rating has declined from -7.5 percentage points on October 19 to -13 points on November 8. He added that the proportion of Americans who strongly disapprove of Trump hit a second-term high of 45 percent and that finding "means Trump is once again less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term." He said that at the same point, Biden's net approval rating was at -8.3 percentage points. However, he said Trump's approval rating was about 5 points higher than it was at the same point in his first term. "Donald Trump's approval rating has been in free fall since last October," Silver wrote. It follows other negative approval rating polls. A recent  poll  by  The Economist /YouGov found Trump’s approval rating at its  lowest level since he returned to office  in January, with 39 percent of people saying they approved of the job he is doing, while 58 percent disapproved, resulting in a net approval rating of -19 points. According to  Rasmussen  Reports, a pollster that has been  accused of leaning toward Republican candidates  but claims to be independent, Trump's net approval rating is -8 percentage points. As per their tracker, this is the president's lowest approval rating since his second term started in January. Meanwhile, according to RealClearPolitics, which aggregates several polls, the president's net approval rating is at -8.9 percentage points, the lowest in his second term so far, as per the website's tracker. What People Are Saying President Donald   Trump said on his social media platform Truth Social on Monday:  "So many Fake Polls are being shown by the Radical Left Media, all slanted heavily toward Democrats and Far Left Wingers 
 Fake News will never change, they are evil and corrupt but, as I look around my beautiful surroundings, I say to myself, 'Oh, look, I’m sitting in the Oval Office!'" Thomas Gift, associate professor of political science previously told   Newsweek :  "It’s hard to look at the shutdown and not see it weighing on Trump’s polling. Even if voters are frustrated with Democrats as well, prolonged dysfunction rarely benefits anyone politically. Government shutdowns tend to reinforce the sense that Washington is broken—and while both sides may take heat, the president typically bears the brunt of the blame." Harry Enten, CNN's chief data analyst, recently said Trump's approval rating is "down there with the Titanic." What Happens Next As his presidency continues, Trump's popularity will likely fluctuate. Whether his low approval ratings affect the GOP's performance in upcoming elections, including the November 2026 midterms, remains to be seen.
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Kennedy Jr. speaks during an event about weight-loss drugs in... Read More \| (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) By Kate Plummer Senior US News Reporter 40 Share [Newsweek is a Trust Project member](https://www.newsweek.com/editorial-guidelines) Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. *** U.S. President Donald Trump's approval rating has been "in a free fall" for weeks, pollster [Nate Silver](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/nate-silver) has said. Writing in his Substack blog, Silver Bulletin, the statistician and political analyst said Trump's net approval rating is now at "the lowest it's been during his second term." *Newsweek* reached out to the White House by email outside of normal business hours for comment. ## Why It Matters Approval ratings are useful in gauging the mood of the nation and the public's response to Trump's policies. On November 4, there were a series of elections across the country in which Democrats made a number of gains in key seats including the New York City mayoral election, where Democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani defeated independent Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. These election results have concerned the GOP ahead of future votes. U.S. President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C. on November 6, 2025. \| (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) ## What To Know Read More #### Politics [Trump Approval Rebounds After Record-Low Net, New Poll Shows](https://www.newsweek.com/trump-approval-rebounds-after-record-low-new-poll-11813513) [Donald Trump’s Approval Rating With Catholics Amid Vatican Drama](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-catholics-vatican-11805488) [Donald Trump Scores Approval Rating Boost With Baby Boomers](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-boost-baby-boomers-11806720) [More Related Stories](https://www.newsweek.com/politics) Silver, who founded 538, a website that offers opinion poll analysis, said that Trump's net approval rating has declined from -7.5 percentage points on October 19 to -13 points on November 8. He added that the proportion of Americans who strongly disapprove of Trump hit a second-term high of 45 percent and that finding "means Trump is once again less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term." He said that at the same point, Biden's net approval rating was at -8.3 percentage points. However, he said Trump's approval rating was about 5 points higher than it was at the same point in his first term. "Donald Trump's approval rating has been in free fall since last October," Silver wrote. It follows other negative approval rating polls. A recent [poll](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/poll) by *The Economist*/YouGov found Trump’s approval rating at its [lowest level since he returned to office](https://www.newsweek.com/trumps-net-approval-rating-hits-second-term-low-poll-shows-10955247) in January, with 39 percent of people saying they approved of the job he is doing, while 58 percent disapproved, resulting in a net approval rating of -19 points. According to [Rasmussen](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/rasmussen) Reports, a pollster that has been [accused of leaning toward Republican candidates](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls-republican-2059459) but claims to be independent, Trump's net approval rating is -8 percentage points. As per their tracker, this is the president's lowest approval rating since his second term started in January. Meanwhile, according to RealClearPolitics, which aggregates several polls, the president's net approval rating is at -8.9 percentage points, the lowest in his second term so far, as per the website's tracker. ## What People Are Saying **President Donald** **Trump said on his social media platform Truth Social on Monday:** "So many Fake Polls are being shown by the Radical Left Media, all slanted heavily toward Democrats and Far Left Wingers 
 Fake News will never change, they are evil and corrupt but, as I look around my beautiful surroundings, I say to myself, 'Oh, look, I’m sitting in the Oval Office!'" **Thomas Gift, associate professor of political science [previously told](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-hits-new-low-10980503) *Newsweek****:* "It’s hard to look at the shutdown and not see it weighing on Trump’s polling. Even if voters are frustrated with Democrats as well, prolonged dysfunction rarely benefits anyone politically. Government shutdowns tend to reinforce the sense that Washington is broken—and while both sides may take heat, the president typically bears the brunt of the blame." **Harry Enten, CNN's chief data analyst, recently said** Trump's approval rating is ["down there with the Titanic."](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-down-there-with-the-titanic-analyst-11008768) ## What Happens Next As his presidency continues, Trump's popularity will likely fluctuate. Whether his low approval ratings affect the GOP's performance in upcoming elections, including the November 2026 midterms, remains to be seen. [Request Reprint & Licensing](https://www.newsweek.com/contact) Submit Correction [View Editorial & AI Guidelines](https://www.newsweek.com/editorial-guidelines) *** Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. ## Recommended For You [News](https://www.newsweek.com/news) [Trump’s Favorability Falls to Lowest Rating With Most Accurate Pollster](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-falls-lowest-rating-most-accurate-pollster-iran-war-11792365) 3 min read [News](https://www.newsweek.com/news) [Inflation Jumps to Highest Level Seen Under Trump as Approval Ratings Crater](https://www.newsweek.com/inflation-jumps-to-highest-level-seen-under-trump-11810767) 6 min read [Politics](https://www.newsweek.com/politics) [Donald Trump’s Disapproval Rating Breaks Record with Republican Pollster](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-disapproval-rating-breaks-record-republican-pollster-11809241) 2 min read [U.S.](https://www.newsweek.com/us) [Who Is Amanda Ungaro? 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Post with kindness. Read our guidelines [here](https://www.newsweek.com/community-guidelines) ![Jump to log in or sign Up](https://cdn.viafoura.net/assets/defaultavatar.913f94a2fa72a280b0374131f1c9b175.png) Toggle Top Comments Help Top Comments3 All Comments40 MOST LIKED **0** ### Top Comments 1. #### Comment by Won'tGetFooledAgain. Wo Won'tGetFooledAgain November 9, 2025 Pollsters and the science of doctored figures. What really matters is what the voters say and we have to remain vigilant that we will still have a right to vote fairly next November. The repugnicans are doing everything they can to restrict voting rights to control the elections. We must remember in November, again, if we can. reply 5 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 2. #### Comment by gopnomore110. go gopnomore110 November 9, 2025 Are Republicans really going after people‘s right to pray? We know they’re going after other rights but also prayer? I thought they were like all Christian and stuff? What happened? This is what’s going on in Chicago: Friday’s “Faith over Fear” rally featured prayers and speeches from groups including Indigenous Americans, Catholics, Jews, Muslims and Unitarians. The Faith over Fear rally will be held on the first Friday of every month from November forward, organizers said. In a possible violation of the First Amendment, federal officials instructed demonstrators to stop holding religious gatherings outside the immigration processing facility in suburban Broadview. Federal authorities told demonstrators Friday that there would be “no more prayer” in front of or inside the Broadview ICE facility, in a move that mystified local leaders and raised legal questions. "I’m dumbfounded,” the police chief told Block Club. “Every time I talk with \[federal officials\], it feels like their rules keep changing. We don’t really know what’s happening, I’m sorry I can’t say more. We just want to keep people safe and let them peacefully protest without getting hurt.” Read more reply 6 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 3. #### Comment by gopnomore110. go gopnomore110 November 10, 2025 Republicans are trying to make Democrats cave and vote so later on they can say well you voted for it. It's your fault you voted for it. But Democrats are refusing to fall for that again. The first time was when George Bush said you’re with us or you’re with the terrorist so you better vote for the Iraq war, the one where they couldn’t find WMD‘s and thought Iraq was behind 911. So Democrats voted for it, and as soon as we found out that everything Republicans said were untrue, they were pointing at Democrats and said it’s your fault, you voted for it. While Schumer and Durbin may have fallen for that again, the rest of the Democrats are refusing to be conned.edited Read more reply 4 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies ### All Comments 1. #### Comment by willsmiffslap. wi willsmiffslap November 9, 2025 When you are clueless and just awful at your job, people notice. reply 4 replies 9 0 share report 2 2 older replies show older replies - #### Reply by Porifera. Po Porifera November 9, 2025 Reply to this message as I look around my beautiful surroundings, I say to myself, 'Oh, look, I’m sitting in the Oval Office!'" Soon he will look around and say to himself, "Oh, look, I'm sitting in a prison cell". reply 1 reply 4 0 share report - #### Reply by Won'tGetFooledAgain. Wo Won'tGetFooledAgain November 9, 2025 Reply to Porifera One can only hope. reply 1 0 share report 2. #### Comment by cbcb462. cb cbcb462 November 9, 2025 So his approval rating is like our economy, the job market, our democracy, the number of people in the world that respect Trump, his mental acuity...in free fall\! reply 8 replies 7 0 share report 6 6 older replies show older replies - #### Reply by Rich 9260. R9 Rich 9260 November 10, 2025 Reply to The Resistance Don't worry, your SNAP benefits will be back before Thanksgiving, it's not like your really paying for your Thanksgiving package yourself. You should be more Thankful. reply 1 reply 0 2 share report - #### Reply by The Resistance. TR The Resistance November 10, 2025 Reply to Rich 9260 LOL, I see you have no logical and coherent reply to my post. Typical MAGA. When they have nothing they can say to defend their post, they make an attempt at humiliating the other poster. But it doesn't work, Cletus. Incidentally and not for nothing, I just retired, after over 50 years in the workforce. Never had to take one dime from gubmint, not even unemployment compensation. Unlike you, able-bodied but who I'm sure has been on the dole for years. :D :D :D :D :D :D :D reply 1 0 share report 3. #### Comment by gopnomore110. go gopnomore110 November 10, 2025 You know how rumors are, sometimes they’re true and sometimes they’re not. I just heard a rumor coming out of the White House that a couple of times in the last month Donald Trump had to ask for directions to get to the oval office. reply 6 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 4. #### Comment by gopnomore110. go gopnomore110 November 9, 2025 Are Republicans really going after people‘s right to pray? We know they’re going after other rights but also prayer? I thought they were like all Christian and stuff? What happened? This is what’s going on in Chicago: Friday’s “Faith over Fear” rally featured prayers and speeches from groups including Indigenous Americans, Catholics, Jews, Muslims and Unitarians. The Faith over Fear rally will be held on the first Friday of every month from November forward, organizers said. In a possible violation of the First Amendment, federal officials instructed demonstrators to stop holding religious gatherings outside the immigration processing facility in suburban Broadview. Federal authorities told demonstrators Friday that there would be “no more prayer” in front of or inside the Broadview ICE facility, in a move that mystified local leaders and raised legal questions. "I’m dumbfounded,” the police chief told Block Club. “Every time I talk with \[federal officials\], it feels like their rules keep changing. We don’t really know what’s happening, I’m sorry I can’t say more. We just want to keep people safe and let them peacefully protest without getting hurt.” reply 6 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 5. #### Comment by Won'tGetFooledAgain. Wo Won'tGetFooledAgain November 9, 2025 Pollsters and the science of doctored figures. What really matters is what the voters say and we have to remain vigilant that we will still have a right to vote fairly next November. The repugnicans are doing everything they can to restrict voting rights to control the elections. We must remember in November, again, if we can. reply 5 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 6. #### Comment by Spoonerfive. Sp Spoonerfive November 10, 2025 Can't wait for the shutdown to finally end! Now Little Mikey will have to swear in the AZ congresswoman-elect thereby clearing the way for THE EPSTEIN FILES release\! reply 4 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 7. #### Comment by nathanhansard. na nathanhansard November 10, 2025 Advice for Republicans in the midterms: Grab your ankles\! reply 4 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 8. #### Comment by gopnomore110. go gopnomore110 November 10, 2025 Republicans are trying to make Democrats cave and vote so later on they can say well you voted for it. It's your fault you voted for it. But Democrats are refusing to fall for that again. The first time was when George Bush said you’re with us or you’re with the terrorist so you better vote for the Iraq war, the one where they couldn’t find WMD‘s and thought Iraq was behind 911. So Democrats voted for it, and as soon as we found out that everything Republicans said were untrue, they were pointing at Democrats and said it’s your fault, you voted for it. While Schumer and Durbin may have fallen for that again, the rest of the Democrats are refusing to be conned.edited reply 4 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 9. #### Comment by Won'tGetFooledAgain. Wo Won'tGetFooledAgain November 9, 2025 Ekena Millwork must be ecstatic having the dictatorking gluing their plastic and wood appliquĂ©s all over the White House. Wonder if the dictatorking is getting a volume discount? Those big plastic ones list for \$70 each without the gold leaf over the primer paint. Beautiful tacky oval office indeed. reply 4 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies 10. #### Comment by The Resistance. TR The Resistance November 10, 2025 Really? Well to hear Trump talk, his approval rating is 99.9%, gas is two bucks a gallon, and groceries will cost you less now than they did in 1968. Is he WRONG? Say it ain't so!!!\! reply 2 0 share report 0 0 older replies show older replies View all comments ## Active Conversations The following is a list of the most commented articles in the last 7 days. - [A trending article titled "Trump sparks fury with image of himself as Jesus: ‘Antichrist Spirit’" with 7 comments.Trump sparks fury with image of himself as Jesus: ‘Antichrist Spirit’ 7](https://www.newsweek.com/trump-sparks-fury-with-image-of-himself-as-jesus-antichrist-spirit-11818578?__vfz=medium%3Dconversations_top_pages) - [A trending article titled "Trump warns US military ready to "finish" Iran after talks fail" with 134 comments.Trump warns US military ready to "finish" Iran after talks fail 134](https://www.newsweek.com/trump-warns-us-military-ready-to-finish-iran-after-talks-fail-11810764?__vfz=medium%3Dconversations_top_pages) Powered by ## Related Podcasts ## Top Stories [Live Blog](https://www.newsweek.com/live-blog) [Iran War Live: Trump Gives Time Naval Blockade Will Start](https://www.newsweek.com/iran-war-live-trump-gives-time-naval-blockade-will-start-11818589) 2 min read [For Members](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/for-members) [Analysis](https://www.newsweek.com/analysis) [5 Hard Truths for Trump in OrbĂĄn’s Big Loss](https://www.newsweek.com/trump-orban-hungary-election-eu-nato-magyar-11818647) 7 min read [News](https://www.newsweek.com/news) [Pope Leo Says He Is Not Afraid Of Donald Trump](https://www.newsweek.com/pope-leo-hits-back-donald-trump-11819236) 3 min read [Politics](https://www.newsweek.com/politics) [Eric Swalwell Suspends Campaign for California Governor: ‘Deeply Sorry’](https://www.newsweek.com/eric-swalwell-suspends-campaign-california-governor-deeply-sorry-11818307) 5 min read [World](https://www.newsweek.com/world) [In Blow to MAGA, Europe’s ‘Trump Before Trump’ Loses in Hungary](https://www.newsweek.com/maga-europe-trump-orban-loses-hungary-11816855) 4 min read [News](https://www.newsweek.com/news) [Trump Warns China Explicitly Over Iran Weapons, Threatens ‘50% Tariff’](https://www.newsweek.com/trump-china-iran-weapons-50-percent-tariff-warning-11817592) 3 min read [Trending](https://www.newsweek.com/) VA [VA Gives Financial Boost To Veterans: What Changes and Who Qualifies](https://www.newsweek.com/va-gives-financial-boost-to-veterans-11815178) 4 min read NSA [Americans Urged To Reboot Internet Routers by NSA](https://www.newsweek.com/americans-reboot-internet-routers-nsa-11810909) 6 min read Jeffrey Epstein [Who Is Amanda Ungaro? 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U.S. President Donald Trump's approval rating has been "in a free fall" for weeks, pollster [Nate Silver](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/nate-silver) has said. Writing in his Substack blog, Silver Bulletin, the statistician and political analyst said Trump's net approval rating is now at "the lowest it's been during his second term." *Newsweek* reached out to the White House by email outside of normal business hours for comment. ## Why It Matters Approval ratings are useful in gauging the mood of the nation and the public's response to Trump's policies. On November 4, there were a series of elections across the country in which Democrats made a number of gains in key seats including the New York City mayoral election, where Democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani defeated independent Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. These election results have concerned the GOP ahead of future votes. U.S. President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C. on November 6, 2025. \| (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) ## What To Know Silver, who founded 538, a website that offers opinion poll analysis, said that Trump's net approval rating has declined from -7.5 percentage points on October 19 to -13 points on November 8. He added that the proportion of Americans who strongly disapprove of Trump hit a second-term high of 45 percent and that finding "means Trump is once again less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term." He said that at the same point, Biden's net approval rating was at -8.3 percentage points. However, he said Trump's approval rating was about 5 points higher than it was at the same point in his first term. "Donald Trump's approval rating has been in free fall since last October," Silver wrote. It follows other negative approval rating polls. A recent [poll](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/poll) by *The Economist*/YouGov found Trump’s approval rating at its [lowest level since he returned to office](https://www.newsweek.com/trumps-net-approval-rating-hits-second-term-low-poll-shows-10955247) in January, with 39 percent of people saying they approved of the job he is doing, while 58 percent disapproved, resulting in a net approval rating of -19 points. According to [Rasmussen](https://www.newsweek.com/topic/rasmussen) Reports, a pollster that has been [accused of leaning toward Republican candidates](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls-republican-2059459) but claims to be independent, Trump's net approval rating is -8 percentage points. As per their tracker, this is the president's lowest approval rating since his second term started in January. Meanwhile, according to RealClearPolitics, which aggregates several polls, the president's net approval rating is at -8.9 percentage points, the lowest in his second term so far, as per the website's tracker. ## What People Are Saying **President Donald** **Trump said on his social media platform Truth Social on Monday:** "So many Fake Polls are being shown by the Radical Left Media, all slanted heavily toward Democrats and Far Left Wingers 
 Fake News will never change, they are evil and corrupt but, as I look around my beautiful surroundings, I say to myself, 'Oh, look, I’m sitting in the Oval Office!'" **Thomas Gift, associate professor of political science [previously told](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-hits-new-low-10980503) *Newsweek****:* "It’s hard to look at the shutdown and not see it weighing on Trump’s polling. Even if voters are frustrated with Democrats as well, prolonged dysfunction rarely benefits anyone politically. Government shutdowns tend to reinforce the sense that Washington is broken—and while both sides may take heat, the president typically bears the brunt of the blame." **Harry Enten, CNN's chief data analyst, recently said** Trump's approval rating is ["down there with the Titanic."](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-down-there-with-the-titanic-analyst-11008768) ## What Happens Next As his presidency continues, Trump's popularity will likely fluctuate. Whether his low approval ratings affect the GOP's performance in upcoming elections, including the November 2026 midterms, remains to be seen.
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AuthorKate Plummer
Publish Time2025-11-09 17:15:43 (5 months ago)
Original Publish Time2025-11-09 16:51:18 (5 months ago)
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