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URLhttps://medium.com/data-science/beta-distribution-intuition-examples-and-derivation-cf00f4db57af
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Meta TitleBeta Distribution — Intuition, Examples, and Derivation | by Aerin Kim | TDS Archive | Medium
Meta DescriptionBeta Distribution — Intuition, Examples, and Derivation When should we use the Beta distribution? The Beta distribution is a probability distribution on probabilities. It is a versatile …
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When should we use the Beta distribution? 9 min read Jan 8, 2020 -- The Beta distribution is a probability distribution on probabilities . It is a versatile probability distribution that could be used to model probabilities in different scenarios. Examples include the Click-Through Rate (CTR) of an advertisement, the conversion rate of customers purchasing on your website, the likelihood of readers clapping for your blog, the probability of Trump winning a second term, the 5-year survival rate for women with breast cancer, and so on. Because the Beta distribution models a probability, its domain is bounded between 0 and 1 . 1. Why does the PDF for Beta distribution look the way it does? To grasp the intuition behind the Beta distribution, let’s first examine its Probability Density Function (PDF): Press enter or click to view image in full size An excerpt from Wikipedia What’s the intuition? Ignoring the coefficient 1/B(α,β) for now, let’s focus on the numerator x^(α-1) * (1-x)^(β-1). Because the coefficient 1/B(α,β) is just a normalizing constant, ensuring that the function integrates to 1. Then, the terms in the numerator — x to the power of something multiplied by 1-x to the power of …
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Member-only story # Beta Distribution — Intuition, Examples, and Derivation ## When should we use the Beta distribution? [![Aerin Kim](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:64:64/2*XK92LT9AOyjhhUazl1Gejw.png)](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---byline--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [Aerin Kim](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---byline--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) 9 min read · Jan 8, 2020 \-- 24 Share The Beta distribution is **a probability distribution *on probabilities***. It is a versatile probability distribution that could be used to model probabilities in different scenarios. Examples include the Click-Through Rate (CTR) of an advertisement, the conversion rate of customers purchasing on your website, the likelihood of readers clapping for your blog, the probability of Trump winning a second term, the 5-year survival rate for women with breast cancer, and so on. Because the Beta distribution models a probability, its domain is bounded between **0** and **1**. ## 1\. Why does the PDF for Beta distribution look the way it does? To grasp the intuition behind the Beta distribution, let’s first examine its Probability Density Function (PDF): Press enter or click to view image in full size ![]() An excerpt from Wikipedia ### What’s the intuition? **Ignoring** **the coefficient** **1/B(α,β)** for now, let’s focus on the numerator **x^(α-1) \* (1-x)^(β-1).** Because the coefficient **1/B(α,β)** is just a normalizing constant, ensuring that the function integrates to 1. Then, the terms in the numerator — **x to the power of something multiplied by 1-x to the power of**… \-- \-- 24 [![TDS Archive](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:96:96/1*JEuS4KBdakUcjg9sC7Wo4A.png)](https://medium.com/data-science?source=post_page---post_publication_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [![TDS Archive](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:128:128/1*JEuS4KBdakUcjg9sC7Wo4A.png)](https://medium.com/data-science?source=post_page---post_publication_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [Published in TDS Archive](https://medium.com/data-science?source=post_page---post_publication_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [828K followers](https://medium.com/data-science/followers?source=post_page---post_publication_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) ·[Last published Feb 3, 2025](https://medium.com/data-science/diy-ai-how-to-build-a-linear-regression-model-from-scratch-7b4cc0efd235?source=post_page---post_publication_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) An archive of data science, data analytics, data engineering, machine learning, and artificial intelligence writing from the former Towards Data Science Medium publication. [![Aerin Kim](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:96:96/2*XK92LT9AOyjhhUazl1Gejw.png)](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---post_author_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [![Aerin Kim](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:128:128/2*XK92LT9AOyjhhUazl1Gejw.png)](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---post_author_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [Written by Aerin Kim](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---post_author_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) [11\.8K followers](https://medium.com/@aerinykim/followers?source=post_page---post_author_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) ·[290 following](https://medium.com/@aerinykim/following?source=post_page---post_author_info--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) Engineer. 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## When should we use the Beta distribution? [![Aerin Kim](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fill:64:64/2*XK92LT9AOyjhhUazl1Gejw.png)](https://medium.com/@aerinykim?source=post_page---byline--cf00f4db57af---------------------------------------) 9 min read Jan 8, 2020 \-- The Beta distribution is **a probability distribution *on probabilities***. It is a versatile probability distribution that could be used to model probabilities in different scenarios. Examples include the Click-Through Rate (CTR) of an advertisement, the conversion rate of customers purchasing on your website, the likelihood of readers clapping for your blog, the probability of Trump winning a second term, the 5-year survival rate for women with breast cancer, and so on. Because the Beta distribution models a probability, its domain is bounded between **0** and **1**. ## 1\. Why does the PDF for Beta distribution look the way it does? To grasp the intuition behind the Beta distribution, let’s first examine its Probability Density Function (PDF): Press enter or click to view image in full size An excerpt from Wikipedia ### What’s the intuition? **Ignoring** **the coefficient** **1/B(α,β)** for now, let’s focus on the numerator **x^(α-1) \* (1-x)^(β-1).** Because the coefficient **1/B(α,β)** is just a normalizing constant, ensuring that the function integrates to 1. Then, the terms in the numerator — **x to the power of something multiplied by 1-x to the power of**…
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