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(0)0](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-547644#comments-547644)  © Reuters. 資深市場人士：隨着「所有泡沫」破裂，2025年美股將面臨40%「斷崖式」跌幅 [NDX -0.73%](https://hk.investing.com/indices/nq-100) [US500 -0.55%](https://hk.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500) [NVDA -2.82%](https://hk.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp) FX168財經報社(北美)訊 經濟學家哈里·登特 (Harry Dent) 表示，股市可能將出現大幅調整，其崩盤程度甚至可能比金融危機期間投資者所經歷的更爲嚴重。[\#2024投資策略\#]() 這位哈佛商學院的校友多年來一直預測股市將出現大崩盤和隨之而來的經濟蕭條，這次他再次對市場狀況發出警告。 登特表示，由於過去十年來過度寬鬆的貨幣和財政政策導致資產價格膨脹，股市看起來正處於「所有泡沫之中」。 登特估計，當泡沫最終破裂時，標準普爾 500 指數可能下跌 86%，納斯達克綜合指數可能下跌 92%。他表示，芯片製造商英偉達等「英雄」股票可能下跌 98%，這意味着市場將崩潰數萬億美元。 「股市一定會崩盤。現在有觸頂的跡象，」登特週日（6月9日）接受福克斯商業新聞網採訪時表示，並指出股市現在「勉強」創下新高。 第三方廣告。非Investing.com產品或者推薦。點擊 [此處](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-547644) 查看聲明或者**[移除廣告](https://hk.investing.com/ad-free-subscription?source=desktop&medium=article_ad)**。 「我們必須看到 40% 左右的跌幅，才能說泡沫終於破滅了。一旦勢頭如此之大，我認爲就很難停下來，」他警告說。 登特估計，這個泡沫已經形成了14年，比歷史上大多數泡沫持續時間要長得多，通常大多數泡沫都會持續五六年纔會破裂。 登特表示，這在一定程度上是因爲自 2008 年經濟衰退以來，市場一直受到大量刺激。他根據累積的預算赤字和自那時以來印刷的現金量估計，自金融危機以來，市場已從約 27 萬億美元的刺激計劃中受益。 與此同時，過去十年的大部分時間裏，利率也一直保持在超低水平，這有助於推高資產價格。 「股市已經持續上漲了很長時間，所以你必須預料到這次崩盤會比 2008 年和 2009 年更嚴重，」他說。「這實際上是第二次科技泡沫，」他補充道，指的是 21 世紀的互聯網泡沫。 登特預測，由於美聯儲爲控制通脹而快速收緊貨幣政策，投資者可能在明年年初至年中看到其影響。 第三方廣告。非Investing.com產品或者推薦。點擊 [此處](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-547644) 查看聲明或者**[移除廣告](https://hk.investing.com/ad-free-subscription?source=desktop&medium=article_ad)**。 高利率對股市不利，並可能通過收緊金融條件導致經濟陷入下滑。 「泡沫之後不會出現衰退，泡沫之後會引發蕭條，」登特說道。「我可以告訴你，歷史上沒有一次泡沫沒有以悲劇收場，而這次的泡沫規模更大、持續時間更長。」 可以肯定的是，登特的觀點在華爾街是一個例外，越來越多的投資者開始期待經濟軟着陸的前景。美國經濟仍保持穩固基礎，國內生產總值繼續呈現較慢但仍爲正的經濟增長。美國就業崗位也在穩步增加，最新的就業報告輕鬆超出預期。 [原文鏈接](https://www.fx168news.com/article/%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B%E8%82%A1%E5%B8%82-735310) ## NVDA 今天背後真實情況為何？ 掌握最新消息摘要，就用 WarrenAI ── 本站強大的 AI 財經調研工具。這就像投資版的 ChatGPT，但可使用超過 1,200+ 項優質指標，橫跨10年數據資料，即時篩選基本面、總結最新消息，並揭露**華爾街分析師對NVDA** 的真正看法。 用自己的話語提問，幾秒鐘即可獲得內幕解答。把它當作你經驗豐富的投資夥伴 - 隨時準備好協助你思考NVDA 方方面面。 [問問 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500](https://hk.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures?cid=1175153 "US 500 Cash - (CFD)") 6,661.90 \+4.9 \+0.07% [美元指數期貨](https://hk.investing.com/currencies/us-dollar-index "美元指數期貨 - (CFD)") 96\.94 \+0.080 \+0.08% [倫敦布倫特原油 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil "倫敦布倫特原油期貨 - (CFD)") 67\.93 \+0.07 \+0.10% [WTI原油 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil "WTI原油期貨 - (CFD)") 63\.72 \+0.31 \+0.49% [黃金 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/gold "黃金期貨 - (CFD)") 3,796.47 \-19.23 \-0.50% [銅 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/copper "銅期貨 - (CFD)") 4\.6375 \-0.0030 \-0.06% [天然氣 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas "天然氣期貨 - (CFD)") 3\.154 \+0.010 \+0.32% [美國二號棉花 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/us-cotton-no.2 "美國二號棉花期貨 - (CFD)") 66\.61 \+0.39 \+0.59% [美國大豆 期貨](https://hk.investing.com/commodities/us-soybeans "美國大豆期貨 - (CFD)") 1,008.13 \-4.38 \-0.43% [歐元/美元](https://hk.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd "歐元 美元 - (CFD)") 1\.1805 \-0.0010 \-0.08% 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[0001](https://hk.investing.com/equities/cheung-kong "長和") 50\.30 \+0.15 \+0.30% [0388](https://hk.investing.com/equities/hkex "香港交易所") 437\.40 \-5.20 \-1.17% [投資挑戰](https://hk.investing.com/challenges?entry=workstation) 參加我們的投資挑戰賽，邊學邊贏大獎！ 參與挑戰 最熱門文章 新聞 分析 [隔夜美股 \| 鮑威爾一句話“嚇壞”市場 三大股指齊挫 甲骨文(ORCL.US)跌超4%](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-1110827) 作者 智通財經 2025年9月23日 [美國政府停擺風險加大！鮑威爾講話倒計時，英偉達砸1000億美元引爆爭議](https://hk.investing.com/news/forex-news/article-1109350) 作者 FX168 2025年9月22日 [美股開市前，黃金、白銀齊創新高！紐約期金突破3800美元，白銀站上44美元](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-1109818) 作者 Investing.co... 2025年9月23日 [美光科技開市前升超1%，Q4財報前瞻：每股收益暴增134%，營收百億美元](https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-1109672) 作者 Investing.co... 2025年9月23日 [今日財經市場5件大事：美光科技將公佈財報；PMI預覽；鮑威爾講話](https://hk.investing.com/news/economy-news/article-1109443) 作者 Investing.co... 2025年9月22日 [速覽！一行兩局一會最新發聲](https://hk.investing.com/analysis/article-116133) 作者 Wind資訊 2025年9月22日 [投資前瞻：鴻蒙智行秋季新品發佈會定檔，9月LPR報價將公佈](https://hk.investing.com/analysis/article-116108) 作者 Wind資訊 2025年9月21日 [驢跡科技 炒「十一黃金周」](https://hk.investing.com/analysis/article-116110) 作者 何車 2025年9月21日 [中國東方 可見2.2元](https://hk.investing.com/analysis/article-116135) 作者 何車 2025年9月22日 [市況轉弱 恆指支持看10天線](https://hk.investing.com/analysis/article-116109) 作者 Sam Sam 岑智勇 2025年9月21日 [更多新聞](https://hk.investing.com/news/most-popular-news) [市場走勢](https://hk.investing.com/markets/hong-kong) 最活躍 領漲個股 領跌個股 | 名稱 | 最新 | 升跌率% | 成交量 | |---|---|---|---| | [Shandong Hi Speed Holdings](https://hk.investing.com/equities/china-innovative-finance-group-ltd) | 5\.330 | \+22.25% | 1\.24B | | [中芯國際](https://hk.investing.com/equities/smic) | 72\.60 | \-1.02% | 135\.37M | | [阿里巴巴-SW](https://hk.investing.com/equities/alibaba-group-holding-hk) | 159\.40 | \+0.13% | 119\.18M | | [小米集團－Ｗ](https://hk.investing.com/equities/xiaomi) | 55\.45 | \-1.16% | 84\.35M | | [美團-W](https://hk.investing.com/equities/meituan-dianping) | 101\.00 | \-2.79% | 58\.94M | | [百度集團](https://hk.investing.com/equities/baidu) | 128\.40 | \-5.38% | 37\.35M | | [騰訊控股](https://hk.investing.com/equities/tencent-holdings-hk) | 635\.50 | \-0.86% | 15\.29M | | 名稱 | 最新 | 升跌率% | 成交量 | |---|---|---|---| | [雲智匯科技](https://hk.investing.com/equities/maxnerva-technology-services-ltd) | 1\.260 | \+103.23% | 137\.95M | | [譽燊豐控股](https://hk.investing.com/equities/landrich-holding) | 0\.175 | \+86.17% | 19\.51M | | [TOMO HOLDINGS](https://hk.investing.com/equities/tomo) | 0\.325 | \+47.73% | 17\.54M | | [國際精密](https://hk.investing.com/equities/ipe-group-ltd) | 0\.870 | \+38.10% | 21\.13M | | [Novautek Tech](https://hk.investing.com/equities/applied-development-holdings-ltd) | 0\.227 | \+29.71% | 43\.22M | | [Harbour Equine Holdings](https://hk.investing.com/equities/shen-you) | 0\.153 | \+28.57% | 1\.65M | | [長盈集團（控股）](https://hk.investing.com/equities/epi-holdings-ltd) | 0\.195 | \+28.29% | 13\.15M | | 名稱 | 最新 | 升跌率% | 成交量 | |---|---|---|---| | [佳兆業資本](https://hk.investing.com/equities/eagle-legend-asia-ltd) | 0\.600 | \-29.41% | 14\.86M | | [環球印館](https://hk.investing.com/equities/universe-printshop-holdings-ltd) | 0\.510 | \-16.39% | 737\.60K | | [Global Dining Holdings](https://hk.investing.com/equities/singapore-food-holdings-ltd) | 0\.05 | \-16.39% | 285\.00K | | [Life Healthcare](https://hk.investing.com/equities/life-healthcar?cid=990534) | 0\.100 | \-15.97% | 6\.00M | | [金源氫化](https://hk.investing.com/equities/henan-jinyuan-hydrogenated) | 0\.40 | \-15.22% | 966\.00K | | [悅達礦業](https://hk.investing.com/equities/yue-da-mining-holdings-ltd?cid=990383) | 0\.290 | \-14.71% | 651\.00K | | [滄港鐵路](https://hk.investing.com/equities/canggang-railway-ltd) | 0\.91 | \-12.50% | 118\.54M | ## [熱門股票](https://hk.investing.com/equities/trending-stocks) | 名稱 | 最新 | 升跌率% | 成交量 | |---|---|---|---| | [阿里巴巴-SW](https://hk.investing.com/equities/alibaba-group-holding-hk) | 159\.40 | \+0.13% | 119\.18M | | [美團-W](https://hk.investing.com/equities/meituan-dianping) | 101\.00 | \-2.79% | 58\.94M | | [商湯-W](https://hk.investing.com/equities/sensetime-group-inc) | 2\.67 | \-1.11% | 1\.12B | | [比亞迪股份](https://hk.investing.com/equities/byd-co.) | 106\.30 | \-3.10% | 35\.73M | | [騰訊控股](https://hk.investing.com/equities/tencent-holdings-hk) | 635\.50 | \-0.86% | 15\.29M | 顯示更多 ProPicks AI AI實力助陣，我們的**優選股票**一路領跑，輕輕鬆鬆**超越標普500** [恆指領航](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-hang-seng) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-hang-seng?entry=ws_propicks) [香港科技龍頭](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/hk-tech-titans) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/hk-tech-titans?entry=ws_propicks) [香港地產精英](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/hk-real-estate-elite) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/hk-real-estate-elite?entry=ws_propicks) [擊敗標普500](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-sp-500) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-sp-500?entry=ws_propicks) [稱霸道瓊](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/dominate-the-dow) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/dominate-the-dow?entry=ws_propicks) [科技巨頭](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/tech-titans) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/tech-titans?entry=ws_propicks) [中型領漲股](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/midcap-movers) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/midcap-movers?entry=ws_propicks) [熱門價值股](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/top-value-stocks) 此策略中的股票 aaa 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[德國優選Alpha股](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-dax) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-dax?entry=ws_propicks) [沙特TASI超級星](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-tasi) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-tasi?entry=ws_propicks) [韓國市場領頭羊](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-kospi) 此策略中的股票 aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa aaa aaaaaaa aaaa aaa [解鎖策略](https://hk.investing.com/pro/propicks/beat-kospi?entry=ws_propicks) \_undefined\_chat\_widget\_header *** 留言 評論守則 日曆 [財經日曆](https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/) [財報日曆](https://hk.investing.com/earnings-calendar/) [假期日曆](https://hk.investing.com/holiday-calendar/) 美國經濟 [美聯儲利率監測工具](https://hk.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor) [美國報酬率收益曲線](https://hk.investing.com/rates-bonds/usa-government-bonds) 更多工具 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