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| Meta Title | The state of Trumpâs approval rating is lousy |
| Meta Description | President Donald Trump's disapproval rating is about at its second-term high as he heads into his State of the Union address |
| Meta Canonical | null |
| Boilerpipe Text | Itâs State of the Union Day! Tonight, President Donald Trump will address Congress about the state of the nation. This follows a longstanding practice: Article II, Section 3 of the Constitution
calls for the president
to regularly provide Congress with updates regarding the âState of the Union.â And since the 1930s, the president
has routinely delivered this message in-person
with a speech to Congress and other dignitaries.
Trumpâs address comes at a treacherous time in his second term. His disapproval rating in
Decision Desk HQâs job approval average
is 56%, essentially its highest point since he returned to the presidency in January 2025. Trumpâs approval rating stands at 42%, which is also at the low end of his second-term range thus far.
His poor numbers likely stem from a few different challenges. Most importantly, Americans remain downbeat about the state of the economy. A recent survey from
the Pew Research Center found
that only 28% of the public viewed economic conditions as âexcellentâ or âgood.â That is in line with where Pewâs polling has been for most of the past few years.
On the one hand, this reflects long-running dissatisfaction with the economy during President Joe Bidenâs administration. On the other hand, it suggests Americans have not become much more positive in their economic outlook during Trumpâs second term. Moreover, that 28% figure is half the 56% total in
Pewâs December 2019 survey
â more than halfway through Trumpâs first term and just before the COVID pandemic struck.
Surveys also point to disapproval of Trumpâs handling of other key issues. Recent polls from
Reuters/Ipsos
and
Echelon Insights
found Trumpâs net approval on his handling of immigration at -15 and -11, respectively. Trump recently had his tariff policy struck down by the Supreme Court, and while his administration has implemented a new global tariff, it is another issue where he polls poorly. A
new survey from ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos
found 64% of Americans disapproved of how Trump is handling tariffs.
Still, Trumpâs low ratings are not a new development. His current standing is roughly similar to where it has often been ahead of his past State of the Union addresses or similar joint addresses to Congress. The more things change, the more they â mostly â stay the same for the polarizing president.
Decision Desk HQ is excited to announce that it will soon release
Votes
, our new election data portal. Dive into the world of election data with DDHQ Votes:
Up-to-date polling on the key issues and races
Track how prediction markets are moving
25 years of election results at your fingertips
Track election results as they come in
From local to federal, find every race
Coming Soon: DDHQ Forecast
Please join
the waiting list
for Votes now! Those on the waiting list will receive early access to Votes when it launches in the very near future.
Democrats now lead by nearly 6 percentage points in
Decision Desk HQâs generic ballot polling average
. This is about in line with the Democratsâ largest lead in our tracker in Trumpâs second term.
The Democratsâ increased lead reflects a run of positive polls for the party. Recent surveys found Democrats leading by 6 to 10 points. Critically, Democrats continue to have a sizable edge
among independents
on this question, 41%-24%. Such sentiments among swingier voters could combine with more energized Democratic turnout to give the party the upper hand in the 2026 midterms.
The share of respondents who believe the country was on the wrong track continues to far outdistance those who say itâs moving in the right direction. In
Decision Desk HQâs average
, 58.5% say the nation is on the wrong track, while about 35% say the opposite.
Now, this does represent an improvement in positive sentiment. This week, the net figure is about -24, while last week it was about -30. Still, the share who say the nation is on the wrong track remains on the higher end of where it has been during Trumpâs second term.
We are a week out from the March 3 primary elections. The big races that day are the nomination contests for Texasâs U.S. Senate race. However, we have not seen any polls of
the Republican primary
since mid-February. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton
continues to hold a narrow lead
over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, 32%-28%. Rep. Wesley Hunt sits in third with 19%. This leaves every candidate well short of the 50%+1 support required to win the nomination outright.
When it comes to the likely May 26 runoff in this race, though, donât write off Hunt. In an incredibly expensive primary, Paxton and Cornyn (along with their allies) have spent some money going after Hunt. The congressman
recently argued
that this signaled his opponents viewed him as a threat and that his campaign could be making a push for a top-two spot.
The polling news is even bleaker in Texasâs
Democratic primary for Senate
. We recently
released our average for this contest
, which finds Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading state Rep. James Talarico about 43%-37%. However, we recommend caution with these numbers because we have not had any new public polling since late January. With more voters tuning as the primary date nears, itâs possible the race has shifted in important ways since then.
Similarly, we do not have any new polling in Illinoisâs
Democratic primary for Senate
. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi
continues to lead in our average
with 35%. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton is in second with around 19% and Rep. Robin Kelly sits in third with 10%.
To see all Decision Desk HQ Polling Averages,
click here
.
Our team carefully reviews and averages these polls using a straightforward methodology, ensuring that our polling averages reflect a balanced and up-to-date snapshot of public opinion. Within each average you can find a specific point in time to compare how things have changed or view any poll included within that average.
Read about Decision Desk HQâs polling average methodology
here
.
Enjoyed this post? Please share it!
Share |
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# The state of Trumpâs approval rating is lousy
### President Donald Trump's disapproval rating is about at its second-term high as he heads into his State of the Union address
[](https://substack.com/@decisiondeskhq)
[Decision Desk HQ](https://substack.com/@decisiondeskhq)
Feb 24, 2026
2
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[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!twxy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9c59bf9-2750-4194-821e-90aa5696fb12_937x713.png)
(Gage Skidmore [via Flickr](https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/54362429758/in/album-72177720324044219), CC 2.0)
## Weekly Spotlight
Itâs State of the Union Day! Tonight, President Donald Trump will address Congress about the state of the nation. This follows a longstanding practice: Article II, Section 3 of the Constitution [calls for the president](https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/article-2/section-3/) to regularly provide Congress with updates regarding the âState of the Union.â And since the 1930s, the president [has routinely delivered this message in-person](https://history.house.gov/Institution/SOTU/List/) with a speech to Congress and other dignitaries.
Trumpâs address comes at a treacherous time in his second term. His disapproval rating in [Decision Desk HQâs job approval average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/presidential-approval/donald-trump-150479/national/lv-rv-adults) is 56%, essentially its highest point since he returned to the presidency in January 2025. Trumpâs approval rating stands at 42%, which is also at the low end of his second-term range thus far.
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ekk-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea609dd9-424f-48de-ab34-3efed09c546d_756x756.png)
His poor numbers likely stem from a few different challenges. Most importantly, Americans remain downbeat about the state of the economy. A recent survey from [the Pew Research Center found](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2026/02/04/a-year-into-trumps-second-term-americans-views-of-the-economy-remain-negative/pp_2026-02-04_trump-economy_0-01/) that only 28% of the public viewed economic conditions as âexcellentâ or âgood.â That is in line with where Pewâs polling has been for most of the past few years.
On the one hand, this reflects long-running dissatisfaction with the economy during President Joe Bidenâs administration. On the other hand, it suggests Americans have not become much more positive in their economic outlook during Trumpâs second term. Moreover, that 28% figure is half the 56% total in [Pewâs December 2019 survey](https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2019/12/11/most-americans-say-the-current-economy-is-helping-the-rich-hurting-the-poor-and-middle-class/) â more than halfway through Trumpâs first term and just before the COVID pandemic struck.
Surveys also point to disapproval of Trumpâs handling of other key issues. Recent polls from [Reuters/Ipsos](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/most-americans-say-trump-is-growing-erratic-with-age-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2026-02-24/) and [Echelon Insights](https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/february-2026-verified-voter-omnibus/) found Trumpâs net approval on his handling of immigration at -15 and -11, respectively. Trump recently had his tariff policy struck down by the Supreme Court, and while his administration has implemented a new global tariff, it is another issue where he polls poorly. A [new survey from ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos](https://abcnews.com/Politics/majority-americans-disapprove-trump-handling-tariffs-abcpostipsos-poll/story?id=130340581) found 64% of Americans disapproved of how Trump is handling tariffs.
Still, Trumpâs low ratings are not a new development. His current standing is roughly similar to where it has often been ahead of his past State of the Union addresses or similar joint addresses to Congress. The more things change, the more they â mostly â stay the same for the polarizing president.
***
## **âď¸ Introducing [DDHQ Votes](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/) âď¸**
[](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/)
Decision Desk HQ is excited to announce that it will soon release **[Votes](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/)**, our new election data portal. Dive into the world of election data with DDHQ Votes:
- Up-to-date polling on the key issues and races
- Track how prediction markets are moving
- 25 years of election results at your fingertips
- Track election results as they come in
- From local to federal, find every race
- Coming Soon: DDHQ Forecast
Please join [the waiting list](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/) for Votes now! Those on the waiting list will receive early access to Votes when it launches in the very near future.
***
## Important national averages
#### [Generic Ballot](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/lv-rv-adults)
Democrats now lead by nearly 6 percentage points in [Decision Desk HQâs generic ballot polling average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/lv-rv-adults). This is about in line with the Democratsâ largest lead in our tracker in Trumpâs second term.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/independents)
The Democratsâ increased lead reflects a run of positive polls for the party. Recent surveys found Democrats leading by 6 to 10 points. Critically, Democrats continue to have a sizable edge [among independents](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/independents) on this question, 41%-24%. Such sentiments among swingier voters could combine with more energized Democratic turnout to give the party the upper hand in the 2026 midterms.
#### [Right Track/Wrong Track](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/right-wrong-track/national/lv-rv-adults)
The share of respondents who believe the country was on the wrong track continues to far outdistance those who say itâs moving in the right direction. In [Decision Desk HQâs average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/right-wrong-track/national/independents), 58.5% say the nation is on the wrong track, while about 35% say the opposite.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/right-wrong-track/national/independents)
Now, this does represent an improvement in positive sentiment. This week, the net figure is about -24, while last week it was about -30. Still, the share who say the nation is on the wrong track remains on the higher end of where it has been during Trumpâs second term.
***
## **2026 Elections**
#### **[Texas U.S. Senate: Republican Primary](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-gop/texas/republicans-lv-rv-adults-independents)**
We are a week out from the March 3 primary elections. The big races that day are the nomination contests for Texasâs U.S. Senate race. However, we have not seen any polls of [the Republican primary](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242465) since mid-February. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton [continues to hold a narrow lead](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-gop/texas/republicans-lv-rv-adults-independents) over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, 32%-28%. Rep. Wesley Hunt sits in third with 19%. This leaves every candidate well short of the 50%+1 support required to win the nomination outright.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-gop/texas/republicans-lv-rv-adults-independents)
When it comes to the likely May 26 runoff in this race, though, donât write off Hunt. In an incredibly expensive primary, Paxton and Cornyn (along with their allies) have spent some money going after Hunt. The congressman [recently argued](https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/nearly-100-million-campaign-advertising-texas-senate-seat-report-says/) that this signaled his opponents viewed him as a threat and that his campaign could be making a push for a top-two spot.
#### **[Texas U.S. Senate: Democratic Primary](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-dem/texas/lv-rv-adults-independents-democrats)**
The polling news is even bleaker in Texasâs [Democratic primary for Senate](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242466). We recently [released our average for this contest](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-dem/texas/lv-rv-adults-independents-democrats), which finds Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading state Rep. James Talarico about 43%-37%. However, we recommend caution with these numbers because we have not had any new public polling since late January. With more voters tuning as the primary date nears, itâs possible the race has shifted in important ways since then.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-dem/texas/lv-rv-adults-independents-democrats)
#### **[Illinois U.S. Senate: Democratic Primary](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-il-us-senate-dem/illinois/democrats)**
Similarly, we do not have any new polling in Illinoisâs [Democratic primary for Senate](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242554). Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi [continues to lead in our average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-il-us-senate-dem/illinois/democrats) with 35%. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton is in second with around 19% and Rep. Robin Kelly sits in third with 10%.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-il-us-senate-dem/illinois/democrats)
***
To see all Decision Desk HQ Polling Averages, **[click here](https://decisiondeskhq.com/polls/averages/).**
Our team carefully reviews and averages these polls using a straightforward methodology, ensuring that our polling averages reflect a balanced and up-to-date snapshot of public opinion. Within each average you can find a specific point in time to compare how things have changed or view any poll included within that average.
Read about Decision Desk HQâs polling average methodology **[here](https://decisiondeskhq.com/polls/methodology/)**.
Enjoyed this post? Please share it\!
[Share](https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-state-of-trumps-approval-rating?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share)
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| Readable Markdown | Itâs State of the Union Day! Tonight, President Donald Trump will address Congress about the state of the nation. This follows a longstanding practice: Article II, Section 3 of the Constitution [calls for the president](https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/article-2/section-3/) to regularly provide Congress with updates regarding the âState of the Union.â And since the 1930s, the president [has routinely delivered this message in-person](https://history.house.gov/Institution/SOTU/List/) with a speech to Congress and other dignitaries.
Trumpâs address comes at a treacherous time in his second term. His disapproval rating in [Decision Desk HQâs job approval average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/presidential-approval/donald-trump-150479/national/lv-rv-adults) is 56%, essentially its highest point since he returned to the presidency in January 2025. Trumpâs approval rating stands at 42%, which is also at the low end of his second-term range thus far.
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ekk-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea609dd9-424f-48de-ab34-3efed09c546d_756x756.png)
His poor numbers likely stem from a few different challenges. Most importantly, Americans remain downbeat about the state of the economy. A recent survey from [the Pew Research Center found](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2026/02/04/a-year-into-trumps-second-term-americans-views-of-the-economy-remain-negative/pp_2026-02-04_trump-economy_0-01/) that only 28% of the public viewed economic conditions as âexcellentâ or âgood.â That is in line with where Pewâs polling has been for most of the past few years.
On the one hand, this reflects long-running dissatisfaction with the economy during President Joe Bidenâs administration. On the other hand, it suggests Americans have not become much more positive in their economic outlook during Trumpâs second term. Moreover, that 28% figure is half the 56% total in [Pewâs December 2019 survey](https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2019/12/11/most-americans-say-the-current-economy-is-helping-the-rich-hurting-the-poor-and-middle-class/) â more than halfway through Trumpâs first term and just before the COVID pandemic struck.
Surveys also point to disapproval of Trumpâs handling of other key issues. Recent polls from [Reuters/Ipsos](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/most-americans-say-trump-is-growing-erratic-with-age-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2026-02-24/) and [Echelon Insights](https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/february-2026-verified-voter-omnibus/) found Trumpâs net approval on his handling of immigration at -15 and -11, respectively. Trump recently had his tariff policy struck down by the Supreme Court, and while his administration has implemented a new global tariff, it is another issue where he polls poorly. A [new survey from ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos](https://abcnews.com/Politics/majority-americans-disapprove-trump-handling-tariffs-abcpostipsos-poll/story?id=130340581) found 64% of Americans disapproved of how Trump is handling tariffs.
Still, Trumpâs low ratings are not a new development. His current standing is roughly similar to where it has often been ahead of his past State of the Union addresses or similar joint addresses to Congress. The more things change, the more they â mostly â stay the same for the polarizing president.
[](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/)
Decision Desk HQ is excited to announce that it will soon release **[Votes](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/)**, our new election data portal. Dive into the world of election data with DDHQ Votes:
- Up-to-date polling on the key issues and races
- Track how prediction markets are moving
- 25 years of election results at your fingertips
- Track election results as they come in
- From local to federal, find every race
- Coming Soon: DDHQ Forecast
Please join [the waiting list](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/) for Votes now! Those on the waiting list will receive early access to Votes when it launches in the very near future.
Democrats now lead by nearly 6 percentage points in [Decision Desk HQâs generic ballot polling average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/lv-rv-adults). This is about in line with the Democratsâ largest lead in our tracker in Trumpâs second term.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/independents)
The Democratsâ increased lead reflects a run of positive polls for the party. Recent surveys found Democrats leading by 6 to 10 points. Critically, Democrats continue to have a sizable edge [among independents](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/generic-ballot/national/independents) on this question, 41%-24%. Such sentiments among swingier voters could combine with more energized Democratic turnout to give the party the upper hand in the 2026 midterms.
The share of respondents who believe the country was on the wrong track continues to far outdistance those who say itâs moving in the right direction. In [Decision Desk HQâs average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/right-wrong-track/national/independents), 58.5% say the nation is on the wrong track, while about 35% say the opposite.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/right-wrong-track/national/independents)
Now, this does represent an improvement in positive sentiment. This week, the net figure is about -24, while last week it was about -30. Still, the share who say the nation is on the wrong track remains on the higher end of where it has been during Trumpâs second term.
We are a week out from the March 3 primary elections. The big races that day are the nomination contests for Texasâs U.S. Senate race. However, we have not seen any polls of [the Republican primary](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242465) since mid-February. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton [continues to hold a narrow lead](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-gop/texas/republicans-lv-rv-adults-independents) over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, 32%-28%. Rep. Wesley Hunt sits in third with 19%. This leaves every candidate well short of the 50%+1 support required to win the nomination outright.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-gop/texas/republicans-lv-rv-adults-independents)
When it comes to the likely May 26 runoff in this race, though, donât write off Hunt. In an incredibly expensive primary, Paxton and Cornyn (along with their allies) have spent some money going after Hunt. The congressman [recently argued](https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/nearly-100-million-campaign-advertising-texas-senate-seat-report-says/) that this signaled his opponents viewed him as a threat and that his campaign could be making a push for a top-two spot.
The polling news is even bleaker in Texasâs [Democratic primary for Senate](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242466). We recently [released our average for this contest](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-dem/texas/lv-rv-adults-independents-democrats), which finds Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading state Rep. James Talarico about 43%-37%. However, we recommend caution with these numbers because we have not had any new public polling since late January. With more voters tuning as the primary date nears, itâs possible the race has shifted in important ways since then.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-tx-us-senate-dem/texas/lv-rv-adults-independents-democrats)
Similarly, we do not have any new polling in Illinoisâs [Democratic primary for Senate](https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/242554). Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi [continues to lead in our average](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-il-us-senate-dem/illinois/democrats) with 35%. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton is in second with around 19% and Rep. Robin Kelly sits in third with 10%.
[](https://polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/primary-ballot-test/2026-il-us-senate-dem/illinois/democrats)
To see all Decision Desk HQ Polling Averages, **[click here](https://decisiondeskhq.com/polls/averages/).**
Our team carefully reviews and averages these polls using a straightforward methodology, ensuring that our polling averages reflect a balanced and up-to-date snapshot of public opinion. Within each average you can find a specific point in time to compare how things have changed or view any poll included within that average.
Read about Decision Desk HQâs polling average methodology **[here](https://decisiondeskhq.com/polls/methodology/)**.
Enjoyed this post? Please share it\!
[Share](https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/the-state-of-trumps-approval-rating?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share) |
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