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| URL | https://beincrypto.com/vaneck-ceo-bitcoin-bottom-four-year-cycle/ |
| Last Crawled | 2026-04-05 11:09:00 (10 days ago) |
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| Meta Title | VanEck CEO Explains Why Bitcoin Could Be Reaching a Bottom |
| Meta Description | VanEck's CEO says Bitcoin is nearing a bottom as the largest cryptocurrency sees modest gains amid rising geopolitical tensions. |
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| Boilerpipe Text | Is Bitcoinâs Bottom Finally Here? VanEck CEO Shares Bold Prediction for 2026
Prefer us on Google
VanEck CEO Jan van Eck says Bitcoin is making a bottom, attributing the 2026 bear market to the four-year halving cycle
CryptoQuant suggests historical cycle patterns point to a potential bottom forming between June and November 2026.
Analysts remain split on whether institutional adoption and global liquidity now dominate Bitcoin price action over halving cycles
VanEckâs Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Jan van Eck said that Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a market bottom. He attributed the price weakness to the cryptocurrencyâs four-year halving cycle.
However, analysts remain split on whether Bitcoinâs traditional four-year cycle still influences market trends, with some arguing that it may no longer be a valid.
The Case for a Bitcoin Bottom
Speaking on CNBCâs Power Lunch, van Eck, who leads the $181.4 billion asset management firm, grounded his analysis in Bitcoinâs hard-coded supply structure and its four-year halving cycle.
âOur view coming into 2026 is that Bitcoin is governed by the two things you know about Bitcoin limited supply at 21 million, and the halving cycle,â he
said
. âThereâs been an investing cycle, Bitcoin goes up three years in a row, goes down pretty massively in that fourth year. 2026 is that fourth year. So thatâs why we are in a Bitcoin bear marketâŚ.Now I think we are making a bottom.â
Kaiko research
supports the idea that
Bitcoinâs price continues to follow
historical cycle patterns
. In a previous report, the firm highlighted that the post-peak drawdown from around $126,000 to the $60,000â$70,000 range aligns with the corrections seen during previous bear phases.
The report also noted that this price movement falls precisely within the historical window for cycle peaks, typically occurring 12-18 months after a halving event.
However, historical trends suggest that bear markets generally take 6-12 months to find sustainable bottoms. This is often marked by several failed rallies along the way.
Subscribe to our YouTube
channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights
In addition,
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan
pointed to the four-year cycle as one of the three key factors behind holders reducing exposure. According to him, this contributed to the price weakness. Notably, Hougan also suggested that Bitcoin is in the process of forming a bottom.
Meanwhile, a segment of analysts and
market watchers has challenged
whether the four-year cycle still governs Bitcoinâs price action at all. Some argue Bitcoin is tied more to global
liquidity conditions and institutional
capital flows than to mining reward halvings.
The debate over timing carries real weight for investors navigating current conditions. Nonetheless, while Bitcoin bottom predictions rise CryptoQuant suggested that market bottoms donât happen quickly. They typically take time to form.
âIf this cycle mirrors past structures from April 19, 2024: 2012 trace (777 days) â June 4, 2026 ⢠2016 trace (889 days) â September 24, 2026 ⢠2020 trace (925 days) â October 30, 2026,â the post read.
Follow us on X
to get the latest news as it happens
CryptoQuant Historical Bitcoin Comparison. Source:
X/CryptoQuant
CryptoQuant estimates that the market could bottom somewhere between June and December of 2026, with the most likely timeframe between September and November 2026.
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source:
BeInCrypto Markets
These projections come as Bitcoin has seen a modest recovery amid
rising geopolitical tensions.
BeInCrypto Markets data showed that the largest cryptocurrency was trading at $68,217 at press time after rising 3.4% over the past day.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the
Trust Project
guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our
Terms and Conditions
,
Privacy Policy
, and
Disclaimers
have been updated. |
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# Is Bitcoinâs Bottom Finally Here? VanEck CEO Shares Bold Prediction for 2026
[Prefer us on Google](https://www.google.com/preferences/source?q=beincrypto.com)


Written by
[Kamina Bashir](https://beincrypto.com/author/kamina-bashir/)

Edited by
[Harsh Notariya](https://beincrypto.com/author/harsh-notariya/)
03 March 2026 08:25 UTC
- VanEck CEO Jan van Eck says Bitcoin is making a bottom, attributing the 2026 bear market to the four-year halving cycle
- CryptoQuant suggests historical cycle patterns point to a potential bottom forming between June and November 2026.
- Analysts remain split on whether institutional adoption and global liquidity now dominate Bitcoin price action over halving cycles
Promo
[\#Bitcoin (BTC) News](https://beincrypto.com/tag/bitcoin-news/)
[\#Cryptocurrency Market News](https://beincrypto.com/tag/markets/)
**VanEckâs Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Jan van Eck said that Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a market bottom. He attributed the price weakness to the cryptocurrencyâs four-year halving cycle.**
However, analysts remain split on whether Bitcoinâs traditional four-year cycle still influences market trends, with some arguing that it may no longer be a valid.
Sponsored
Sponsored
## The Case for a Bitcoin Bottom
Speaking on CNBCâs Power Lunch, van Eck, who leads the \$181.4 billion asset management firm, grounded his analysis in Bitcoinâs hard-coded supply structure and its four-year halving cycle.
> âOur view coming into 2026 is that Bitcoin is governed by the two things you know about Bitcoin limited supply at 21 million, and the halving cycle,â he [said](https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/03/02/bitcoin-is-making-a-bottom-says-vaneck-funds-jan-van-eck.html). âThereâs been an investing cycle, Bitcoin goes up three years in a row, goes down pretty massively in that fourth year. 2026 is that fourth year. So thatâs why we are in a Bitcoin bear marketâŚ.Now I think we are making a bottom.â
Kaiko research [supports the idea that](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-four-year-halving-cycle-analysis/) Bitcoinâs price continues to follow [historical cycle patterns](https://beincrypto.com/learn/bitcoin-halving-history/#h-how-does-the-four-year-cycle-of-bitcoin-work). In a previous report, the firm highlighted that the post-peak drawdown from around \$126,000 to the \$60,000â\$70,000 range aligns with the corrections seen during previous bear phases.
The report also noted that this price movement falls precisely within the historical window for cycle peaks, typically occurring 12-18 months after a halving event.
However, historical trends suggest that bear markets generally take 6-12 months to find sustainable bottoms. This is often marked by several failed rallies along the way.
[***Subscribe to our YouTube***](https://go.beincrypto.com/beincrypto-youtube) ***channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights***
Sponsored
Sponsored
In addition, [Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan](https://beincrypto.com/bitwise-cio-quantum-fears-bitcoin-decline-jane-street/) pointed to the four-year cycle as one of the three key factors behind holders reducing exposure. According to him, this contributed to the price weakness. Notably, Hougan also suggested that Bitcoin is in the process of forming a bottom.
Meanwhile, a segment of analysts and [market watchers has challenged](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-four-year-cycle-analysis/) whether the four-year cycle still governs Bitcoinâs price action at all. Some argue Bitcoin is tied more to global [liquidity conditions and institutional](https://beincrypto.com/arthur-hayes-bitcoins-4-year-cycle-is-dead-long-live-liquidity/) capital flows than to mining reward halvings.
The debate over timing carries real weight for investors navigating current conditions. Nonetheless, while Bitcoin bottom predictions rise CryptoQuant suggested that market bottoms donât happen quickly. They typically take time to form.
> âIf this cycle mirrors past structures from April 19, 2024: 2012 trace (777 days) â June 4, 2026 ⢠2016 trace (889 days) â September 24, 2026 ⢠2020 trace (925 days) â October 30, 2026,â the post read.
[***Follow us on X***](https://go.beincrypto.com/beincrypto-X) ***to get the latest news as it happens***

CryptoQuant Historical Bitcoin Comparison. Source: [X/CryptoQuant](https://x.com/cryptoquant_com/status/2027124170136371334)
CryptoQuant estimates that the market could bottom somewhere between June and December of 2026, with the most likely timeframe between September and November 2026.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: [BeInCrypto Markets](https://beincrypto.com/price/bitcoin/)
These projections come as Bitcoin has seen a modest recovery amid [rising geopolitical tensions.](https://beincrypto.com/arthur-hayes-iran-could-trigger-fed-easing/) BeInCrypto Markets data showed that the largest cryptocurrency was trading at \$68,217 at press time after rising 3.4% over the past day.
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In adherence to the [Trust Project](https://beincrypto.com/trust-project/) guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our [Terms and Conditions](https://beincrypto.com/terms-and-conditions/), [Privacy Policy](https://beincrypto.com/privacy-policy/), and [Disclaimers](https://beincrypto.com/disclaimer/) have been updated.
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| Readable Markdown | ## Is Bitcoinâs Bottom Finally Here? VanEck CEO Shares Bold Prediction for 2026
[Prefer us on Google](https://www.google.com/preferences/source?q=beincrypto.com)
- VanEck CEO Jan van Eck says Bitcoin is making a bottom, attributing the 2026 bear market to the four-year halving cycle
- CryptoQuant suggests historical cycle patterns point to a potential bottom forming between June and November 2026.
- Analysts remain split on whether institutional adoption and global liquidity now dominate Bitcoin price action over halving cycles
**VanEckâs Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Jan van Eck said that Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a market bottom. He attributed the price weakness to the cryptocurrencyâs four-year halving cycle.**
However, analysts remain split on whether Bitcoinâs traditional four-year cycle still influences market trends, with some arguing that it may no longer be a valid.
## The Case for a Bitcoin Bottom
Speaking on CNBCâs Power Lunch, van Eck, who leads the \$181.4 billion asset management firm, grounded his analysis in Bitcoinâs hard-coded supply structure and its four-year halving cycle.
> âOur view coming into 2026 is that Bitcoin is governed by the two things you know about Bitcoin limited supply at 21 million, and the halving cycle,â he [said](https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/03/02/bitcoin-is-making-a-bottom-says-vaneck-funds-jan-van-eck.html). âThereâs been an investing cycle, Bitcoin goes up three years in a row, goes down pretty massively in that fourth year. 2026 is that fourth year. So thatâs why we are in a Bitcoin bear marketâŚ.Now I think we are making a bottom.â
Kaiko research [supports the idea that](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-four-year-halving-cycle-analysis/) Bitcoinâs price continues to follow [historical cycle patterns](https://beincrypto.com/learn/bitcoin-halving-history/#h-how-does-the-four-year-cycle-of-bitcoin-work). In a previous report, the firm highlighted that the post-peak drawdown from around \$126,000 to the \$60,000â\$70,000 range aligns with the corrections seen during previous bear phases.
The report also noted that this price movement falls precisely within the historical window for cycle peaks, typically occurring 12-18 months after a halving event.
However, historical trends suggest that bear markets generally take 6-12 months to find sustainable bottoms. This is often marked by several failed rallies along the way.
[***Subscribe to our YouTube***](https://go.beincrypto.com/beincrypto-youtube) ***channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights***
In addition, [Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan](https://beincrypto.com/bitwise-cio-quantum-fears-bitcoin-decline-jane-street/) pointed to the four-year cycle as one of the three key factors behind holders reducing exposure. According to him, this contributed to the price weakness. Notably, Hougan also suggested that Bitcoin is in the process of forming a bottom.
Meanwhile, a segment of analysts and [market watchers has challenged](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-four-year-cycle-analysis/) whether the four-year cycle still governs Bitcoinâs price action at all. Some argue Bitcoin is tied more to global [liquidity conditions and institutional](https://beincrypto.com/arthur-hayes-bitcoins-4-year-cycle-is-dead-long-live-liquidity/) capital flows than to mining reward halvings.
The debate over timing carries real weight for investors navigating current conditions. Nonetheless, while Bitcoin bottom predictions rise CryptoQuant suggested that market bottoms donât happen quickly. They typically take time to form.
> âIf this cycle mirrors past structures from April 19, 2024: 2012 trace (777 days) â June 4, 2026 ⢠2016 trace (889 days) â September 24, 2026 ⢠2020 trace (925 days) â October 30, 2026,â the post read.
[***Follow us on X***](https://go.beincrypto.com/beincrypto-X) ***to get the latest news as it happens***

CryptoQuant Historical Bitcoin Comparison. Source: [X/CryptoQuant](https://x.com/cryptoquant_com/status/2027124170136371334)
CryptoQuant estimates that the market could bottom somewhere between June and December of 2026, with the most likely timeframe between September and November 2026.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: [BeInCrypto Markets](https://beincrypto.com/price/bitcoin/)
These projections come as Bitcoin has seen a modest recovery amid [rising geopolitical tensions.](https://beincrypto.com/arthur-hayes-iran-could-trigger-fed-easing/) BeInCrypto Markets data showed that the largest cryptocurrency was trading at \$68,217 at press time after rising 3.4% over the past day.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the [Trust Project](https://beincrypto.com/trust-project/) guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our [Terms and Conditions](https://beincrypto.com/terms-and-conditions/), [Privacy Policy](https://beincrypto.com/privacy-policy/), and [Disclaimers](https://beincrypto.com/disclaimer/) have been updated. |
| Shard | 56 (laksa) |
| Root Hash | 10923582657367632856 |
| Unparsed URL | com,beincrypto!/vaneck-ceo-bitcoin-bottom-four-year-cycle/ s443 |